Betting Tips

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Betting Steam

Steam is when a line is moving fast in 1 direction. You often hear that is sharp money they know what is going on. These are professionals betting BIG money.

This may be true it may not but guess what it is irrelevant. What is relevant to you there is NO correlation between steam and the actual outcome of a game.

Legitimate handicappers? Paying for picks

Is there even such a beast as a legitimate handicapper? Touts Scam Artists Con Men Marketers Low Lifes etc. etc they are everywhere especially this time of year when football is  underway. These con men are NOT sports bettors NOT handicappers just frauds trying to separate you from your money. I will NEVER NEVER recommend anyone EVER pay money for sports selections.

College Basketball Betting Basics

This week we will focus on some points relating to NCAAB. Early in the season you want to look for teams that have had low turnover of key personnel. Also look for teams that have participated in a summer tournament like the teams that travel to Canada Australia etc. These teams will be well ahead of the curve in terms of chemistry, experience and having played together. Look for teams that have a strong experienced point guard. This is the equivalent to a quarterback in football.

NBA injuries/load management

Continuing with NBA handicapping. The long NBA season is filled with injuries and the new craze load management. Keep in mind basketball more than any other sport including football quarterbacks 1 player makes a huge difference. Reason being there are only 5 players on the court at 1 time and key players play usually 80+% of the game.

NBA Betting Tips

With the NBA season about to get underway let us take a look at some key areas to look at in order to effectively handicap. For this grapevine we will focus on the numbers side not the situational side. However remember the intangibles like travel, injuries,  motivation, revenge, look ahead, let downs etc. are all equally as important as the numbers.

The business of sports betting advice

Career success is measured by how much you enjoy what you do. The optimum is to look forward to your work enjoy the process of problem solving. That in essence is our function with sports betting.

Always try to get better. This business like most is always evolving and changing. Adapt to succeed. Never stop learning and growing.

The only thing that can stop you is you. Have a passion for what you do and eventually the money will follow.

NO Overtime NO Shootouts for NHL Betting

The NHL regular season gets underway this week. For those of you that have been following me for a while this Grapevine will act as reminder for those of you new please take note. As detailed on the NHL page of my website, ALL NHL bets are for regulation time ONLY. I am not interested in risking money on a 4 on 4 overtime which is basically shinny or even worse a shootout which is nothing more than a glorified skills competition. Could you imagine an MLB game tied being decided by a home run hitting contest because that is the equivalent.

Pros vs Joes avoid recent bias

With the NFL regular season nicely underway this week is a good time to remind you about the danger of overreacting. Nowhere is this a greater problem than with the NFL. Do not be a Joe be a Pro.

Bettors remember the most recent games and results and draw conclusions for their next bets based on this information. In the NFL that is 1 lousy game in other sports it is 1 lousy week. DO NOT overreact every team has clunkers or even a series of bad games even the best teams. More times than not you will find value on the team set for a bounce back.

Education of a sports bettor

The education of a sports bettor never ends. With the arrival of analytics and the ever evolving expanding and sophistication of sports data it is expand adapt in order to survive.

Bettors who ignore or disregard the latest betting market adjustments will get left behind. Sports bettors who had an edge even just 1 year ago can watch their advantages disappear if they do not stay one step ahead of the markets.

Follow the masses you will lose. The majority overestimate their ability to handicap games successfully.