Professional Sports Handicapping

New community section launched to ask Rick Steel questions or refer to the community for handicapping and picks advice.
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Today's Free Pick

SportGamePickDate
TBA
TBA
TBA
02-16-20
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Probability laws

Submitted by rsteel on

You are never as hot as you think you are. Your luck is never as bad as you think it is. You are never due to win. Now that we have this out of the way we can get to the crux of the issue. Gamblers think when they get hot they are invulnerable. They think the laws of probability do not apply to them.

Dallas Stars vs Montreal Canadiens

Submitted by rsteel on

Dallas Stars over Montreal Canadiens: Both teams struggle on offense however Dall has the edge on defense especially with Weber out. Mtl will play their 4th game in 6 nights with a rink change each time. Mtl is 4-6-2 with zero days rest. Mtl is 8-16 vs.top 10 teams. I made this game 1.29 giving us excellent value.

Los Angeles Kings vs New York Rangers

Submitted by rsteel on

New York Rangers over Los Angeles Kings: Lak will play their 4th game in 6 nights and the final of a 4 game road trip. This is a 6pm start so even tougher for Lak. We get a med adv in net with Quick vs. Shesterkin. Lak are ranked 30th in road offense while Nyr are 5th in home offense. I have this game at 1.81 giving us excellent value.