Avoid recency bias


With the full menu of sports, we have going now this is a good time to remind you about the danger of overreacting.  Do not be a Joe be a Pro.

Bettors remember the most recent games and results and draw conclusions for their next bets based on this information. In the NFL that is 1 lousy game in other sports it is 1 lousy week. DO NOT overreact every team has clunkers or even a series of bad games even the best teams. More times than not you will find value on the team set for a bounce back.

Matchups and situations dictate new evaluations every week and every game. Put last game bias aside consider the result but do not let it override all your objective analysis.

Pros bet numbers Joes bet teams.

Pros only bet when they have value Joes need action.

Pros protect their bankroll only risking a small fraction of their bankroll Joes risk too much on individual games.

Pros handle losing streaks bad beats they stay calm confident in their process. Joes go on tilt chasing losses.

 

 

Avoid recency bias | Professional Sports Handicapping

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