Submitted by rsteel on
2018 was a horrible MLB betting season for myself. The second worst since I began doing this 20+ years ago. Believe me I have already made the adjustments I feel necessary to have a profitable 2019 based on changes in the game more than betting market conditions.
Always always bet LISTED pitchers unless I specify differently in my game analysis. Make sure you read each game analysis which you should already be doing in every sport anyway. This will ensure that from the time we place our bet to the time the games goes off if something were to happen to either starting pitcher and he does not throw at least one pitch to start the game our bet will be refunded. The last thing I want is to risk money based on a pitching change that I did not handicap. However there will be times when we are on the dog that we will ONLY specify our pitcher in the remote chance the better pitcher we are betting against does not start. Make sure whatever book you are dealing with allows you the option to just specify one pitcher or you simply should not be dealing with that book.
Pinnacle if you are outside the U.S. or 5dimes in the U.S are must have sports books for the long baseball season. Simply click on the banner FROM my website and sign up if you do not already have an account there. This will ensure the sports book knows where you are coming from. NEVER deal with a sports book that is offering greater than a dime line for baseball.
Realize early in the season, travel days and weekends there are obviously afternoon starts and many different first pitch times. Your job at the beginning of everyday is to know the various times games start. To ensure you NEVER miss a bet it is critical you follow me on Instagram Twitter Facebook @ricksteel99. If you are using my app make sure your notifications are turned on. There will be times where you have less than 1 hour to place your bet after receiving the alert. Less lead time will occur most often on Sunday’s and when a day game is being played after the 2 teams played the night before. I do not place a bet until I know the starting line ups and who is being rested.
As like any other time of the year there will be days where we will bet our plays in stages in order to get the best line.
Baseball represents the highest dollar amount EVERY year of our total dollars bet. There are 2,592 regular season games. This volume far exceeds any other sport providing us with the most betting opportunities.
Shop, shop, shop for the best line available. You do not want to bet a game at -1.40 when it is available at -1.32. You do not want to bet a game at +1.12 when it is available at +1.19. Regardless of the $ amount of your unit even one cent differences in the line over the course of a season results in substantial dollars left on the table. It could mean the difference between a winning and losing season. In fact if the line has moved too much from when I released the pick and you waited too long to bet it that play may not even have value any longer.
If you are not getting the lines I am betting at, there are likely 2 main reasons. You did not bet the play soon enough after I released it (remember we deal in a fluid marketplace lines are moving all the time) OR you are not shopping at enough sports books to guarantee yourself the best line possible. If you are betting at a book that is dealing baseball lines at more than 10 cent spreads you might as well STOP right now. You WILL NOT win long term under those conditions and you are simply giving your money away. There is NO reason to deal with a book like that when there are plenty other books dealing much more advantageous lines like Pinnacle and 5dimes to just mention two.
You should have sports book accounts at ALL the books listed on my site where you can open an account depending on where you are living. Open your accounts FROM the banners/text links of my site so the sports book knows where you are coming from. I highly encourage this for YOUR benefit NOT mine.
Baseball has a tendency to be streakier than any other sport we bet. It is a long long season a marathon not a sprint. There will be extended winning and losing streaks. However the ride will be well worth it.
If anyone has any questions about the above info do not hesitate to contact
LET’S PLAY BALL!