Archived Picks



Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers

Boston Celtics over Indiana Pacers: Bost has Philly tomorrow but with 2 days off prior to this one I do not think they look past Ind on the road. The return of Hayward is big. I also believe Bost will be able to control the boards. Ind is playing well without Olidipo but when they have to step up against top 10 teams they are 0-4. I have this game at 2.5 giving us excellent value.

Miami Ohio Redhawks vs Central Michigan Chippewas

Central Michigan Chippewas #106 over Miami Ohio Redhawks: Mi Oh is very average on defense. MI Oh is 114th pass offense and 81st in overall offense. Cent Mich is very good at stopping the run which will force Mi Oh to pass more especially if they fall behind. Qb Gabbert is not close to 100%. I made the line 7.5 giving us excellent value.

Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots

New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs: Not often you will find value with NE especially at home but that is the case this week. This bet has nothing to do with the record of NE off a loss it has everything to do with misleading results from last week. KC destroyed Oak at home 40-9. Big deal Kc was outgained 332-259 yards but had a +3 turnover margin. They will not be able to count on that this week. The Kc defense is still ranked 25th not good NE #2. Ne lost on the road to Houst 28-22 another misleading result. Ne outgained Houst 448-276 won TOP 35-25.

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears

Dallas Cowboys over Chicago Bears: A rare Thursday night game which we will bet. Both teams played on Thanksgiving Day so rest and prep should not be an issue. Both teams are disappointments. Chic point to Trubisky for Dall with all their talent point to Garret. Obviously Precott over Trubisky is a big adv Dall. The Chic defense is good but so is Dall. Dall stock is down giving us a buy low opportunity. Dall has a strong pass rush which should force Trubisky into some errors. Chic is 3-1 in thie last 4 but that was against Det twice without Stafford and the Nyg.

Minnesota Wild vs Florida Panthers

Florida Panthers over Minnesota Wild: Minn has been playing better. We ger an opportunity to sell high. Minn also has somer serious home/away dichotomy. Both teams go with goalies with 1 carer starts so there is some risk on both sides however we will go with the team much more gifted offensively. Flor is 4th home on offense Minn is ranked 25th on the road. I have this game at 1.32 giving us excellent value.

Colorado Buffaloes vs Utah Utes

Colorado Buffaloes #377 over Utah Utes: No Ut has motivation to dominate this game. Win and Pac 12 championship and outside shot at college football playoff. Ut is obviously playing very well this is not a fade on them but rather inflated points given the situation. The total on this game is 49.0 the spread is huge. Very little margin for error. 10-14 points from Col should get us our ticket to cash. Both teams have played tough SOS. Col although obviously not on the same level as Ut is also playing good football down the stretch especially on the defensive side.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers

Nebraska Cornhuskers #328 over Iowa Hawkeyes: We successfully played on Neb last week as a big road fav at Maryland and won in blow out fashion. We only mention this because now they return home as a dog against Iowa. Iowa is a very avg offense granted Neb defense not that good but the points offered more than offset this issue. We also mentioned in the bet last week how Neb with over rated coach Frost is beginning to show some life. Now they have a chance to get to a bowl with a win. Iowa is locked in this is a game to stay healthy. We get home edge motivational edge and points.

Seton Hall Pirates vs Oregon Ducks

Oregon Ducks #724 over Seton Hall Pirates: This game will be played at neutral site at Atlantis. It is still very early but Org has played the 83rd ranked SOS S.Hall is 239th. Org likes to play slow and will try and turn this into a half court game. They have a balanced offense with strong guard play while S. Hall is very dependent on Powell. I have this game at 2.5 giving us excellent value.

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions: Short week travel for Chic but this is a familiar opponent so prep time should be fine. It is always risky to lay points especially on the road with Trubisky and Chic. However Chic still has a chance to make the playoffs. The Det defense not good to begin with has cluster injures not fully incorporated in this line. Now QB Driskel has been limited in practice with a hamstring injury. The 3rd stringer Blough was undrafted out of Purdue if they need to go there. Driskel is not good to begin with and the Chic defense is still very formidable.

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

Denver Broncos over Buffalo Bills: Valiant effort by Den on the road vs. a very good Minn team. Allen is looking more and more comfortable with the offense in Den especially good chemistry with Sutton. Den has played the 4th ranked strength of schedule Buff comes in at 32nd. In fact Buff 7 wins have come against teams a combined 15-55. Both teams try and establish the run and have trouble throwing. Look for a fast moving low scoring grind it out type of game. Buff has Dall on tap Thurs. I priced this game at 3.0 giving us excellent value. 

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