Archived Picks



Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Submitted by rsteel on

Pittsburgh Steelers over Baltimore Ravens: The market likes to bet on teams coming of a bye like in the case of Balt. Historically this has had no impact on which team covers. This line has already come down slightly so we will not wait any longer. The line also indicates that on a neutral field Balt would be favored and that is just wrong. The gap in the passing game of these two teams is huge. Balt runs the ball well but Pitts is very good at stopping the run. Pitts jumped out to a 27-7 lead last week against a good Tenn team and despite a -3 turnover margin they still won 27-24.

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

Submitted by rsteel on

Chicago Bears over Los Angeles Rams: I expect this game to be low scoring making the points offered a mountain to overcome. Chic does not get enough credit they win many close games do not score much and win on defense and creating turnovers. Foles is not very good but he is a veteran and will not get rattled in this environment. This will be Foles 4th week after replacing Trubisky so the offense is a work in progress. Chic has not played a tough schedule but it is still tougher than Lar. The rams 4 wins have come against the NFC east.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Adj Series price

Submitted by rsteel on

Tampa Bay Rays over Los Angeles Dodgers Adj series price: This bet is ONLY to be made if you originally bet Lad to win the series We simply do not have any value left on our original bet. The starting pitching is equal heading into the last 3 games. The relief with Jansen reverting back to his old form adv TB. Offense adv remains with Lad. I will now RISK 0.5 unit on Tb +money. If Lad win we will break even if Tb wins we will drink a little juice.  

Cincinnati Bearcats vs SMU Mustangs

Submitted by rsteel on

Cincinnati Bearcats #347 over SMU Mustangs: Cinci has been off since 10/03 due to a game cancelled from Covid. SMU is off a OT win on the road against Tulane. There is no denying SMU has a good offense but this will be by far the best defense they will have faced. Cinci struggles on offense but they should get enough done against this weak SMU defense. Conversely look for the Cinci defense to control this game. The line opened pick but the money has flowed in on SMU given offense sells. I made this game pick which gives us value. 

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays adj series price

Submitted by rsteel on

Los Angeles Dodgers over Tampa Bay Rays best of 7 Adj series price: The next 3 games line up for Lad with Buehler Urias and Kershaw as it stands right now. Tb has Morton going tonight and than we will see. However overall Sp  adv Lad. Everyone talks about how good the Tb bullpen is and they are but Lad have pitched very well and Jensen has had a resurgence after a up and down regular season. Lastly there is a med adv on offense with Lad vs. Tb. I made the adj series price 2.20 giving us excellent value.

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Submitted by rsteel on

Carolina Panthers over New Orleans Saints: Car season was supposed to be over after losing McCaffery but that has not been the case. Rookie coach Ruhle has done an excellent job. Davis has stepped up at RB Bridgewater has been solid and the defense despite injuries is ranked 11th overall. NO has the name recognition and are off a bye. WR Thomas has been out since week 1 with a hamstring he was due back this week but sat out practice Thurs making him questionable. Regardless NO is no longer that explosive offense we remember from the past but rather a rhythm ball control unit.

ULL Ragin Cajuns vs UAB Blazers

Submitted by rsteel on

ULL Ragin Cajuns #309 over UAB Blazers: Early results can be very misleading. ULL is off a bad loss vs. a very good Coast Car team. UAB beat West Kent last Saturday. The UAB offense is not that good and they are stepping up in class here. ULL has had to deal with Covid early on but they are getting healthy and have had 10 days to prepare for this one. ULL top to bottom the more talented team. I made this game 4.5 giving us excellent value.

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49er's

Submitted by rsteel on

Los Angeles Rams-San Francisco 49er’s Over: The Sf defense continues to be decimated with key injuries. The defensive stats continue to look good but misleading. Sf has faced Nyj Nyg and have even given up 25 to Phil. On offense I am expecting a bounce back after the debacle against Mia last week. Garoppolo will have had a week of practice along with RB Mostert. Lar defense has also been propped up having faced Wash Nyg Phil. One thing Lar do well is get after the Qb tied for the league in sacks while SF has given up the 4th most sacks.

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Submitted by rsteel on

Detroit Lions over Jacksonville Jaguars: With only 1 win Det can hardly take Jax for granted. Jax was projected to be along with the Nyj the worst teams in the league. With the surprising opening day shocker over Indi the market has been giving them too much respect. Jax has now lost 4 in a row and have cluster injuries at WR and all through the defense. Det is off a bye Golladay is back healthy Stafford needed to work on his footwork really no excuses this week. Det 3 losses have come against Chic Gb and No. Det has played the 6th SOS while Jax comes in at 18th.

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys

Submitted by rsteel on

Dallas Cowboys over Arizona Cardinals: The Dall defense is horrible and in the short-term combined with injuries that is not going to change. A number of issues not being looked at properly here. The Ariz defense is not so good either. The loss of LB Jones is big. Dalton is not Prescott but he is a very capable back-up with the best group of receivers in the league. In fact on offense if Dalton plays more ball control it will keep the Dall defense off the field actually helping their cause. Ariz has played the 30th SOS Dall comes in at 16th.

Pages