Submitted by rsteel on
Miami Heat over Milwaukee Bucks: We cashed game 1 of this series and will not hesitate to come back on it at virtually the same line. We have 2 issues in particular creating the value for us this time. 1 again will be the rep profile of Mil with Giannis expected to go to the finals. 2 is the zig zag theory team losses a game especially a favorite that they will bounce back the following game. Perhaps Mil wins this game however that still does not mean they cover. Can Mia win again s/u of course they can no method in sports betting works 100% of the time and no angle should be followed blindly. When we break down game 1 teams played about equal this game was won for Mia at the free throw line. Mia went 25-27 Mil 14-26 Giannis was 4-12. I do not expect Butler to have as big a game but I also do not expect Lopez/Middleton combo to do as well. I do expect the Mia depth/bench to continue to outperform Mil. Despite Mia falling behind by 11 after the first quarter they ended up winning by 9. Bledsoe remains questionable again tonight. Can Mia win outright again tonight? Of course they can with the points offered again providing us a substantial cushion. I have this game at 3.5 giving us excellent value.