New York Islanders over Washington Capitals: Wash has the reputation which has this line higher than it should be. We have an adv in net with Varlamov over Holtby. Wash will be without a key player in Backstrom. In game 1 Wash jumped out to a 2-0 lead mid way through the 2nd period. Both goals were on the PP. Wash had 7 PP to Nyi 4 in game 1. Wash only had 26 total shots in the game and only 14 were at EV strength. In other words as long as Nyi stay out of the box for game 2 a win is likely. People will auto bet a zig zag in the playoffs without going under the hood. I have this game at pick giving us excellent value.