Betting Tips



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Evolve Adapt to Succeed

The education of a sports bettor never ends. With the arrival of analytics and the ever evolving expanding and sophistication of sports data; it is expand, adapt in order to survive. It is really no different than any other profession which requires constant educational upgrades due to new technology, changing industry, evolving rules and regulations, competitor strategies etc.

Modelers are constantly changing their programs finding flaws and then improving their simulations. Remember garbage in garbage out.

NCAAF bowling for dollars

Over the next 8 weeks the college football bowl games will be played culminating with the playoff format to determine a champion.

 Handicapping bowl games is a totally different beast than handicapping games during the regular season.

 Look to play ON double digit underdogs in the minor bowl games. If you are a big favorite in a game like this it indicates more was expected from you this season and this bowl game is a disappointment. The larger the underdog in games like this the greater the motivation and reward to actually be playing in a bowl game.

Follow to increase your profits

People who bet for a living are looking at the prices all day long every day. If you are doing this part time you need to find someone you trust who you can follow 100% of the time; especially if your goal is to generate a full time income at some point in this business.

Always be learning evolving

Career success is measured by how much you enjoy what you do. The optimum is to look forward to your work enjoy the process of problem solving. That in essence is our function with sports betting.

Always try to get better. This business like most is always evolving and changing. Adapt to succeed. Never stop learning and growing.

The only thing that can stop you is you. Have a passion for what you do and eventually the money will follow.

NBA game rosters who is in who is out

In the era of Covid NBA starting line ups (who is in who is out) for each game becomes that much more important before you place a bet.  The long NBA season is filled with injuries and the new craze load management. Keep in mind basketball more than any other sport including football quarterbacks 1 player makes a huge difference. Reason being there are only 5 players on the court at 1 time and key players play usually 80+% of the game.

Timing the market

If you like the dog or under usually better to bet it closer to game time. If you like the favorite or over there is usually no upside to waiting bet it now. This is not a hard and fast rule but is the norm to betting at the best odds. As you gain experience in this business you acquire a better feel when to place your bets in order to maximize value. No one times the market perfectly all the time no matter how long you do this.

NCAAB 2021/22 season betting basics

This week we will focus on some points relating to NCAAB. Early in the season you want to look for teams that have had low turnover of key personnel. Also look for teams that have participated in a summer tournament like the teams that travel to Canada Australia etc. These teams will be well ahead of the curve in terms of chemistry, experience and having played together. Look for teams that have a strong experienced point guard. This is the equivalent to a quarterback in football.

How to increase profits without increasing win %

As we head into our busy time the importance of shopping and acquiring the best line possible when you bet cannot be overstated.

It does not matter what the $ value is of your unit. Successful sports bettors know the value of half a point on the spread or a penny on the money line. Successful bettors will be on the right side of a half point victory more times than not. They will win when others push and they will push when others lose. When a line has moved against them they know to pass on the game not to chase the line.

NBA winning handicapping tips

 We will finally get back to a “normal” routine schedule for the upcoming season.

 Let us take a look at some key areas to in order to effectively handicap. For this grapevine we will focus on the numbers side not the situational side. However remember the intangibles like travel, injuries,  motivation, revenge, look ahead, let downs etc. are all equally as important as the numbers.

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