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NBA injuries/load management

Continuing with NBA handicapping. The long NBA season is filled with injuries and the new craze load management. Keep in mind basketball more than any other sport including football quarterbacks 1 player makes a huge difference. Reason being there are only 5 players on the court at 1 time and key players play usually 80+% of the game.

NBA Betting Tips

With the NBA season about to get underway let us take a look at some key areas to look at in order to effectively handicap. For this grapevine we will focus on the numbers side not the situational side. However remember the intangibles like travel, injuries,  motivation, revenge, look ahead, let downs etc. are all equally as important as the numbers.

The business of sports betting advice

Career success is measured by how much you enjoy what you do. The optimum is to look forward to your work enjoy the process of problem solving. That in essence is our function with sports betting.

Always try to get better. This business like most is always evolving and changing. Adapt to succeed. Never stop learning and growing.

The only thing that can stop you is you. Have a passion for what you do and eventually the money will follow.

NO Overtime NO Shootouts for NHL Betting

The NHL regular season gets underway this week. For those of you that have been following me for a while this Grapevine will act as reminder for those of you new please take note. As detailed on the NHL page of my website, ALL NHL bets are for regulation time ONLY. I am not interested in risking money on a 4 on 4 overtime which is basically shinny or even worse a shootout which is nothing more than a glorified skills competition. Could you imagine an MLB game tied being decided by a home run hitting contest because that is the equivalent.

Pros vs Joes avoid recent bias

With the NFL regular season nicely underway this week is a good time to remind you about the danger of overreacting. Nowhere is this a greater problem than with the NFL. Do not be a Joe be a Pro.

Bettors remember the most recent games and results and draw conclusions for their next bets based on this information. In the NFL that is 1 lousy game in other sports it is 1 lousy week. DO NOT overreact every team has clunkers or even a series of bad games even the best teams. More times than not you will find value on the team set for a bounce back.

Education of a sports bettor

The education of a sports bettor never ends. With the arrival of analytics and the ever evolving expanding and sophistication of sports data it is expand adapt in order to survive.

Bettors who ignore or disregard the latest betting market adjustments will get left behind. Sports bettors who had an edge even just 1 year ago can watch their advantages disappear if they do not stay one step ahead of the markets.

Follow the masses you will lose. The majority overestimate their ability to handicap games successfully.

Support PSH via Patreon

As most of you are aware I have been approached countless times over the years to sell my picks. I would NEVER do this and all you have to do is read last week’s grapevine for ALL the reasons why.

However the hours I put in day after day all year are huge to generate value bets. The costs to operate the site maintain the android and apple apps are substantial. Therefore I am always on the lookout for methods people can use to support PSH.

To date you can do so:

NEVER NEVER pay for picks

It is that time again the busy fall season around the corner NCAAF NFL starting up soon NHL NBA with MLB stretch run taking place. It is also the time when ALL the low life’s return from climbing out from under their rocks.

Value is value price is everything

A common myth in handicapping is you should only play dogs and somehow if you bet a favorite you are a square. People value is value. If you are handicapping a game and your line is -2.50 or -9.5 points and the lines at the book are -1.95 or -8.0 respectively guess what you have excellent value play them BOTH. Sometimes the obvious play is the best play. Take the money and move on.