NCAAF football handicapping tips
Submitted by rsteel on
There are many similarities handicapping NCAAF and NFL as well there are many differences. Much like starting pitchers in baseball the QB in football can make or break your bets.
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Submitted by rsteel on
There are many similarities handicapping NCAAF and NFL as well there are many differences. Much like starting pitchers in baseball the QB in football can make or break your bets.
Submitted by rsteel on
Sports handicapping is a fluid market of competing bettors risking money on the probability of an end result to occur. The challenge prior to the event is to accurately calculate if you have an edge (in other words value) over the betting market.
A bettor needs to ask what is the probability of this outcome to occur rather than do I think this team will win or not. Focusing on who will win or lose is NOT handicapping. Ignoring the line the price is NOT finding value.
In order to really know what sports handicapping is we must document what it is NOT:
Submitted by rsteel on
We will call these items below under stated under the radar critical factors to success in sports betting. Often overlooked do not let that be the case for you.
Submitted by rsteel on
Believe it or not the 2019 NFLX schedule is about to get underway. We will bet the occasional NFLX game although our tolerance for value (our line vs. the line at the sports book) is higher. There are some years where the results of NFLX outperform that of the regular season. It is the one time where the head coaches tell you exactly their game plan. QB rotation how long the starters will play what areas they want to focus on etc. etc.
Submitted by rsteel on
* EGO, most successful people have one. Call it competitive edge wanting to be the best you can be, pride etc. Conversely the arrogant loud boastful outright liars they are the ones to avoid in every aspect of life. They know the least and are generally very insecure. I did not invent sports betting. I am not the best most talented in the industry. However over the years I have acquired the characteristics that I harp on in grapevines that allow me to be successful in this business. I adapt I am open to new ideas. I am very confident in my ability to handicap.
Submitted by rsteel on
In the second half of the mlb season adjustments are always required to finish the season strong. The weather heats up means the ball travels farther scoring goes up. The games become more and more important the pressure increases especially with the added wild card. More teams will remain in the race longer teams and players that are not used to playing important games in September. Look for teams that have the experience dealing with races coming down to the wire as well as managers that have been through the wars.
Submitted by rsteel on
The close of the baseball menu Sunday will bring us to the all-star break. Monday July 8th up to including Wednesday July 10th there will be no games (at least the sports I bet on) no plays. I will be tweeting throughout this period. There is 1 game on Thursday July 11th so we will see but I will update the website and app on that day.
Submitted by rsteel on
Keep accurate records of your bets. Document the logic behind your bets. Reviewing the outcome of your bets after the fact is almost as important as your initial handicapping that led to the bet. However this post game analysis must be performed objectively eliminating the sour grapes about a bad call or a player that let you down etc. etc. Did you win based on solid handicapping? Did the game play out the way you thought it would? Did you win despite yourself or did you incur a bad beat? Be honest with yourself.
Submitted by rsteel on
WOW we are already over 5 months into our 2019 betting year. I am in my 21st year of doing this as my primary source of income. Before you know it football will be starting up again. Where does the time go?
Submitted by rsteel on
If you have not already done so I highly recommend you subscribe to the PSH You Tube channel. To do so simply click on the subscribe button on the home page of my website pshltd.com.
Subscribing to the channel will give you an alert every time I post a new video.
Since I started the channel approximately 1year ago I have been posting videos breaking down games. Feedback has been very positive and people are finding it helpful adding new techniques to their own tool boxes on how to handicap games.