Betting Tips



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Reputation vs. Reality 08/31/14 (more...)

Bettors often fall into the trap of looking at the team name, logo or color of the jerseys. Just because a team was great last year or even 1 month ago is NOT relevant TODAY. ALL teams good and bad go through peaks and valleys over the course of a long season.
Focus on current results the last 5 games in particular. Once you hit the one quarter pole of a season year to date stats are as meaningless as trends.
Analyze a game as if it were team A vs. team B. This will have you set a more accurate number on the game and in turn help you get a more accurate indication of value.

Increasing Your Unit 08/24/14 (more...)

Remember a unit is 2% of your bankroll. Your bankroll is the unencumbered amount of money you have allocated to this business. It is not money you need for essentials such as food or housing. Your unit is the amount you RISK on each play not the amount you can win. Flat betting risking the same amount on each game is the only way to long term success in this business.

Know Your Coaches 08/17/14 (more...)

Another tool in your handicapping chest is to know your coaches. Good coaches are tough to beat especially down the stretch of a close game. Bad coaches will beat themselves. Great coaches are even rarer. So when you get a chance to bet on them in a favorable spot you should take advantage of the opportunity. Smart coaches bring discipline defense and sound fundamentals. They know not to over coach and have an innate ability to close out games effectively.

Betting Totals 08/10/14 (more...)

As some of you are aware I do not bet totals in MLB, NHL, NCAAB. In my opinion too many variables out of our control (too many to list for the grapevine) after we place the bet that will prevent us from turning a profit long term.
However in the NFL NCAAF and NBA totals are beatable. More specifically if you want long term success be an under bettor.
It is easier to find value with an under than an over:
1)People like scoring they bet overs.

Announcement $2,000 Football Contest 08/03/14 (more...)

Ironically the NFLX schedule gets going tonight. There will not be another Sunday without football until February. For those of you that are new YES we do make plays where value exists during the pre-season games. Below you will find all the details on how to qualify and register for this year’s SURVIVOR NFL FOOTBALL CONTEST.

You will also find a link on the website home page with these details as well.

Advantages of Following me on Twitter Important changes Coming 07/20/14 (more...)

Follow me on Twitter @RickSteel99

In general people who follow me on Twitter are alerted to an update new pick on the website faster than when you receive the alert via email. Getting the alert fastest will put you at the front of the train to help ensure you get the best line possible BEFORE everyone else jumps on the same game moving the line. This becomes even more important as we head towards the busy fall season where the site is updated with new picks numerous times throughout the day.

2014 MLB All-Star Break 07/13/14 (more...)

We have had an outstanding first half to the 2014 betting year. Every month has been profitable other than May. MLB results are not where they are usually but there is much schedule left this year and the story is far from over.
The close of the baseball menu today will bring us to the all-star break. Monday July 14 up to and including Thursday July 17 there will be no games (at least the sports we bet on) no plays and no email alerts. I will be back with you on Friday July 18.

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