Betting Tips

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When handicapping MLB especially this late in the season much attention must be focused on pitch counts and innings pitched year to date. When a pitcher gets up to 175+ innings arm fatigue starts to kick in. Less pop on the fastball less break on the curve ball. This is especially true for pitchers who have never come close to this type of workload before.

I am sure most of you have heard the phrase “trust your instincts” This is awful advice for the sports bettor especially a beginner. A newcomer either has no instincts or cannot depend on the few instincts he does have. The instincts are usually based from a perspective of a sports fan however that does not translate effectively to a successful handicapper.
Sports betting is a skill to be learned developed over years. It is no different than getting your MBA in university. In the long run it has absolutely nothing to do with luck or bad beats.

Contrary to popular belief sports books do make decent money off of baseball. They just do not make it from me or people who follow my picks. Bettors believe it is easy to make money at baseball because you just have to pick the straight up winner no point spreads. To a degree they are right however value still plays a huge role as to whether you have a profitable season over a 162 game schedule. If you continue to lay heavy juice on games that do not substantiate it well you will be contributing to the sports books in a way you do not want to.