Betting Tips



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Learn evolve adapt grow to succeed

Career success is measured by how much you enjoy what you do. The optimum is to look forward to your work enjoy the process of problem solving. That in essence is our function with sports betting.

Always try to get better. This business like most is always evolving and changing. Adapt to succeed. Never stop learning and growing.

The only thing that can stop you is you. Have a passion for what you do and eventually the money will follow.

When to bet timing your entry

There are so many similarities between conventional investment techniques and sports betting. When to purchase when to sell equally important in both endeavors.  

If you like the dog usually better to bet it closer to game time. If you like the favorite there is usually no upside to waiting bet it now. This is not a hard and fast rule but is the norm to betting at the best odds. As you gain experience in this business you acquire a better feel when to place your bets in order to maximize value. No one times the market perfectly all the time no matter how long you do this.

Are YOU paying for sports picks? STOP!

Is there even such a beast as a legitimate handicapper? Touts Scam Artists Con Men Marketers Low Lifes etc. etc they are everywhere. With the continued legalization across North America this problem has become even more profound. Especially this time of year with football starting up again. Talking heads non betting experts on every sports broadcast.  More and more newbies young people entering the market attempted to be led down a bad path by being promised easy money.  These con men are NOT sports bettors NOT handicappers just frauds trying to separate you from your money.

Learn to increase profits shop to you drop

As we head into our busy time the importance of shopping and acquiring the best line possible when you bet cannot be overstated.

It does not matter what the $ value is of your unit. Successful sports bettors know the value of half a point on the spread or a penny on the money line. Successful bettors will be on the right side of a half point victory more times than not. They will win when others push and they will push when others lose. When a line has moved against them, they know to pass on the game not to chase the line.

Betting basics for NCAAF

The college football season is just underway so a good time to review some of the basics of betting this sport.

There are many similarities handicapping NCAAF and NFL as well there are many differences. Much like starting pitchers in baseball the QB in football can make or break your bets.

: Recency bias NFL style

With the NFL regular season kicking off shortly this is a good time to remind you about the danger of overreacting. Nowhere is this a greater problem than with the NFL however it applies to all sports. Do not be a Joe be a Pro. Recency bias is betting based on the most recent game or 1 weeks of games in other words small sample sizes.

Be a contrarian find the value

We all know the key to successful handicapping is to find value. I will talk about this highly misunderstood word “value” in sports betting in an upcoming grapevine.  In a macro simplistic rule of thumb what you want to do; when everyone is jumping on a team you want to get off. When everyone is jumping off a team, they are down on for a recent performance you want to jump on them whenever possible. This is what investing is all about. Buy low sell high I am sure you have all heard that before.

NFLX 2022 Kick off

Believe it or not the 2022 NFLX schedule is about to get underway. We will bet the occasional NFLX game although our tolerance for value (our line vs. the line at the sports book) is higher. There are some years where the results of NFLX outperform that of the regular season. It is the one time where the head coaches tell you exactly their game plan. QB rotation how long the starters will play what areas they want to focus on etc. etc.

Betting adjustments MLB 2nd half

In every sport as the season moves along handicapping adjustments need to be made however in baseball the adjustments are more pronounced in my opinion.

 The weather heats up the ball travels farther scoring goes up. The games become more and more important the pressure increases especially with the added wild card. More teams will remain in the race longer teams and players that are not used to playing important games in September. Look for teams that have the experience dealing with races coming down to the wire as well as managers that have been through the wars.

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Betting Tips | Page 7 | Professional Sports Handicapping

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