MLB Betting Important Info for the 2018 Season
Submitted by rsteel on
2016 we had a fantastic MLB betting year. 2017 was not very good. I am expecting a big bounce back this year. Make sure to follow the points below.
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Submitted by rsteel on
2016 we had a fantastic MLB betting year. 2017 was not very good. I am expecting a big bounce back this year. Make sure to follow the points below.
Submitted by rsteel on
When someone tells you they are very good at something it probably takes you less than a minute of listening to figure out whether they are boasting bragging exaggerating call it what you want or even just plain lying.
Submitted by rsteel on
Every year I am asked for advice regarding filling out your brackets and pools for the NCAAB tournament. Not only is March madness great and presents us with betting opportunities but it also means baseball is about to begin.
Submitted by rsteel on
Obviously filling out a bracket is a different beast than handicapping individual games of the tournament with point spreads. Next week’s grapevine I will help you with your bracket this week we will deal with the spreads.
1) Forget about the conference tournaments underway. March madness is a different beast. There is no carryover of momentum for teams that performed well in those tournaments. In fact some coaches could care less about those tournaments and focus on getting their teams ready for the big dance.
Submitted by rsteel on
Do not be worried about betting against public opinion. Look for over and under reactions to recent games. Be a contrarian in this business that is where you find the value and the money.
Do not play catch up “chasing” by increasing your wagers when losing.
What you save is what you earn. Shop! Shop! Shop! Have a minimum of 3 sports book accounts to ensure you get the best lines possible regardless of the size of your bets. Everything is relative.
Submitted by rsteel on
You are never as hot as you think you are. Your luck is never as bad as you think it is. You are never due to win. Now that we have this out of the way we can get to the crux of the issue. Gamblers think when they get hot they are invulnerable. They think the laws of probability do not apply to them.
Submitted by rsteel on
You are never as hot as you think you are. Your luck is never as bad as you think it is. You are never due to win. Now that we have this out of the way we can get to the crux of the issue. Gamblers think when they get hot they are invulnerable. They think the laws of probability do not apply to them.
Submitted by rsteel on
Next week we are going to deal with the laws of probability for the grapevine. For those of you that are new this will introduce you to the nuts and bolts of this business. For long term followers next week’s grapevine will act as a refresher. This week will be an add on for the topic of the mental aspect of this business. I am a firm believer if you tell people what to expect to minimize surprises and set realistic expectations it will give people a greater chance to succeed.
Submitted by rsteel on
I am not trying to put a damper on your enthusiasm however the Super Bowl is 1 game the last game of this football year. However regardless of the fact even if we do bet this game you still just risk 1 unit.
Submitted by rsteel on
Handicapping is a constantly evolving process. Year by year season by season even game by game. Rules change market perceptions change sports book strategies change. The only constant is change.
Some people are under the impression handicapping is nothing more than a number crunching formula driven exercise which punches out plays. Nothing could be further from the truth. If the better team or better pitcher won and covered every game we would all be rich.