Tampa Bay Rays over Toronto Blue Jays: Will not hesitate to come back on TB today despite increased price from yesterday. Snell had a rough 1st start against a very good Houst team . Since than 2 dominating starts against Col and Chw. 24K 1BB. Yes 2 weak hitting teams but so is Tor. Buchholz gets his 1st start of the year after 1 rehab game. Even on a smooth trip he should not go more than 5 turning it over to a weak bullpen. We get a med adv across the board starting pitching, offense and bullpen. I have this game at 2.02 giving us excellent value.
Tampa Bay Rays over Toronto Blue Jays: We get a med adv on offense. We get a med adv in the bullpen. Part of the reason this line is low is Thornton a 5th round draft choice has had 2 decent starts. Det at home Clev on the road in very cold conditions. He may have success 1 time through the order for Tb has never faced him. However my eye test says he is not ready yet. HE would not even be in the rotation if not for injuries. With a smooth trip he goes 5 and than Tor has some trouble in the bullpen after games in Bost. Stanek will be the opener for Tb and probably go 2 inngs.
Seattle Mariners over Kansas City Royals: Kc has lost 7 in a row. Beckham is questionable for Sea. We will rate the starting pitching equal. Similar pitchers do not strike out many go 6 inngs give up some hits but keep their teams in the game. We will give a small adv in the bullpen to Sea. It is not that their bullpen is so good but Kc is horrible. The real value for this one is on offense where we get a large adv. Sea has hit 32HR in 12 games. They are in excellent form right now. I have this game at 1.21 giving us excellent value.
Tampa Bay Rays over San Francisco Giants: It is opener day again for TB. Stanek will get the 1st inng and we know what he can do. Yarbrough the lefty will follow and with a smooth trip get us to the 6th inng. Samardzija is a reputation vs. reality candidate. His velocity is down his control is a challenge. Tb is a patient old school put the ball in play team. They are not dependent on the long ball. I will give a small adv on offense to Tb as well as in the bullpen. I have this game at 1.38 giving us excellent value.
Philadelphia Phillies over Washington Nationals: Nola won his first time out and did not have his best stuff. This will be the first start for Sanchez and even on a clean trip do not see him going more than 5. This will open up the weak Wash bullpen. Sanchez had a a surprisingly good 2018 I see a regression for him this year. Phil offense is in better form than Wash and we get a small to med adv in the bullpen as well all providing us with the value.
Houston Astros over Tampa Bay Rays: Cole is 28 years old finished 5th in Cy Young last year and entering his prime. Morton had his best 2 years with Houst and is now 35 years old. Houst obviously knows him well. I will give Houst a small adv in SP a med adv in offense with Redick and Correa questionable and will rate the bullpens equal. I have this game at 1.47 giving us excellent value.
Colorado Rockies over Miami Marlins: We get adv across the board fading the rebuilding Mia team. Urena is solid but Freeland has at least a small adv. Freeland started the Col 5th starter last year, ended up the ace and was 4th in Cy Young ballot. This despite pitching half his games in Col. Offense we have at least a med adv as well as the bullpen. If this game were played in June the line would be much higher.
Boston Red Sox over Los Angeles Dodgers Best of 7 World Series: Kershaw vs. Sale the 2 aces are a wash and will likely match up twice during this series depending how it plays out. Game 2 will be Ryu vs. Price. Despite the troubles Price has had in the post season he gets the edge. Porcello will also be in the mix vs. likely Buehler. Buehler will be a future ace however we are talking about now. He has no experience under these conditions. Both teams’ bullpens are unreliable. However Bost has been the best team in MLB all year. They have home field advantage.
Boston Red Sox over New York Yankees: I have this game at pick so the + money available gives us excellent value. All the pressure moves to Nyy who are now in a must win situation. They will turn to CC who has not pitched since Sept 27th. We get a small adv on starting pitching and a wash for offense. The bullpen has a med adv for Nyy however all arms will be available for Bost other than Sale who would start a game 5. If we are tied heading into the late inngs where Nyy would have an adv we can always lay it off with a live bet.
Boston Bruins over Washington Capitals 1st 60 minutes ONLY: We will call the goaltending equal with Holtby vs. Rask. Wash after winning the cup comes in ironically with a new coach with Reirdon who replaces Trotz. So there will be adjustment period with the new coach. The banner will rise tonight during the opening night home game celebration. I fully expect a full fledged hangover for Wash for the early part of the season. Wash was not that good last year but obviously peaked at the right time as they return virtually the same team.