Golden State Warriors over Portland Trailblazers: This bet is similar to the one we made in the NHL with game 4 of the Bost-Car series. After a long long season success in the playoffs a team down 0-3 are not giving up they are professionals with pride. However sub-consciously they know it is over. Port as well will not go down without a fight. It becomes more pronounced to find the energy even at home if you fall behind. Iguodala is questionable for Gs but even if he does not go McKinnie is a very capable back up. Green is looking like the Green of old playing at a very high level.
Houston Rockets over Golden State Warriors Adj Series price: Durant is definitely out tonight likely the rest of the series. Can Gs still win the series of course they can. However this bet is about Houst winning tonight at home. With a line of 7.5 and a money line of 3.13 there is no value. The value is with Houst to win the series. If Houst wins tonight we will have many options available heading into game 7 to take Gs before the game starts or in game at + money if Houst gets off to a lead.
Boston Celtics over Milwaukee Bucks game 2: Bost comes in and dominates game 1 and now the markets expect a big response from Mil. Perhaps but at this line Mil winning does not mean they cover. This line is virtually the same as game 1. Bost is deep talented and experienced. They will not lack focus or be intimidated by this situation. Bost goes as Kyrie goes. He is engaged and motivation. Bost strategy is obvious. Crowd the paint make Mil beat with outside shots. Mil is young being the favorite and being hunted is new for them.
Portland Trailblazers over Oklahoma City Thunder game 5: Port has a chance to close this series out at home. George is not 100% with a shoulder injury. Westbrook always gives full effort but his shot is not falling. Kanter has done a very good job filling in for Nurkic. A healthy McCollum and the superb Lillard isnot something Okc has been able to contain. I have this game at 5.0 giving us excellent value.
Houston Rockets over Utah Jazz game 3: We easily won game 2 with Houst and most applies to that write up game analysis so I will not repeat myself here. Simply re-read that blurb. I do expect Houst to take the best shot UT has tonight especially early on. However Houst has to much depth and Ut to compete for the full 48 mins. In addition Houst knows having the experience the importance of finishing a team as quickly as possible for bigger battles ahead. I have this game at pick-em giving us excellent value.
Houston Rockets over Utah Jazz Game 2: This game is being priced like game 1 with the markets expecting a bounce back from Ut I am not. Houst has more depth and others that can score if necessary besides Harden. Ut is more dependent on Mitchell. Look for Ut to try and double team even triple team Harden getting the ball out of his hands forcing others to beat the. Thing is Houst has others that will beat them. Gordon, Paul and Capela can score. Off the bench House, Rivers Faried, and Green off the bench is quality depth. Last year like this year Houst won game 1 going away.
Orlando Magic over Detroit Pistons: Huge game with big playoff implications for seeding and to qualify. Both teams have home away dichotomies but Det is in a very difficult spot. Det returns from a 5 game west coast trip and have been home for just 2 days. Orl has won 6 in a row s/u and confidence is high. Both teams run hot and cold offensively however Orl on the road is ranked #1 def points allowed Det is 10th at home. Orl on the road is 4th def fg% Det is 23rd at home. I have this game at 1.5 giving us excellent value.
Phoenix Suns over Chicago Bulls: Two teams playing out the string. This is a nothing game but when we win the money is the same. At this time of year in the NBA it is all about who is still giving an effort and who is going through the motions. Phx is 6-4 s/u last 10 incl wins over Mil and GS. Chic is 3-7 their last 10 5 losses in a row incl in Sac last night. Chic will play their 3rd game in 4 nights. Chic is 4-7 on zero days rest ATS. Phx has played the #1 ranked SOS while Chic comes in at 15. I have this game at 4.5 giving us excellent value.
Los Angeles Clippers over Brooklyn Nets: Brklyn is a nice story this year and they have definitely taken a step forward however they are fading down the stretch. They played in Ut last night and now they travel for an early start in La today. Brklyn is 3-9 ATS on zero days rest. Lac are on an extended home stand. Playing well trying for a higher playoff seed. Lac are 5th in rebounding at home Brklyn 13th on the road. Brklyn has played the 29th ranked SOS Lac come in at 8 making the gap between these 2 teams even greater.
Milwaukee Bucks Over Miami Heat: Both teams looking to solidify their spots. Mia likely 8th seed Mil likely #1. These 2 on course to meet in the 1st round. SG Hill is expected back for Mil adding to their depth. Defensively these teams are close but that is where the similarities end. Mil is 5th off fg% on the road Mia 25th at home. Mil is 2nd in rebounding on the road Mia ia 13th at home. Look for Mil to eventually pull away in the 2nd half sending a message for the upcoming playoffs.