Texas Tech Red Raiders #870 over Buffalo Bulls: Offense sells and that has this line lower than it should be. Buff has a very good offense however Tex Tech will be the best defense Buff has gone up against. Tex Tech can get it done on both sides of the ball. Big 12 vs. the Mac is a mismatch. Buff played 2 games all year vs. Top 50 and went 1-1. Tex Tech went 12-5 in 17. Buff comes in with a strength of schedule ranked 95 Tex Tech 44. If Buff comes in and shoots light out so be it I just do not see it happening and will put my money on it.
Villanova Wildcats #837 over Purdue Boilermakers: Line is inflated partially because of 1st game results. Vill struggled in a defensive battle against SMC. Pur put away ODU as expected. Yes Vill is battled tested and experienced led by Paschall and Booth however that will take you only so far. Under the radar leading scorer Edwards for Pur has a sore back he put up points against ODU but he was not efficient. PG Edwards has a sore ankle and was limited in the 2nd half.
Iowa State Cyclones #814 over Ohio State Buckeyes: Oh St reputation and name has this line lower than it should be. Oh St stumbled down the stretch. Iowa St. has been an inconsistent team but are peaking at the right time. Confidence will be high after winning the big 12 tourney. That was accomplished without forward Tally who is expected back. I have this game at 7.5 giving us excellent value.
Nevada Wolf Pack #778 over Florida Gators: The team from the mountain west getting minimal respect going up against a southeastern conf team. Nev is tall and experienced they have a tight rotation. People for get this team started 24-1. Flor went 2-10 vs. top 25 teams. Nev will have Caroline in the line up which is important. I have this game at 4.5 giving us excellent value.
Nebraska Cornhuskers #813 over Iowa Hawkeyes: Both teams are off losses. However in my opinion only one team is for real and that is Neb. Neb is a top offensive team going up against a home team that has big issues on defense. In a game that we just need to lay a small number on the road the value is with the far better team. Neb has a SOS of 37 while Iowa comes in at 166. I have this game at 4.0 giving us excellent value.
Oklahoma Sooners #821 over Kansas Jayhawks: Premier match up of the night. Two teams playing very well at the top of their games. Okl has won 7 in a row they are 10-1-1 ATS on the season. Both teams are battled tested as they enter conference play. You want to bet Kansas at home you will pay a premium tonight is no exception. I have this game at 5.5 giving us excellent value. The s/u winner of this game will be in doubt to the final possessions the points offered provide a substantial cushion.
Villanova Wildcats #602 over Michigan Wolverines: Give all the credit in the world to MIch they are a very good team. However they are matched up with a team that literally has no weaknesses. Mich is superb on defense and this unit alone will keep them in the hunt for awhile. Mich will try and slow the tempo down turn it try to turn the game into a grinder half court affair. However Vill can effectively play either way.
Duke Blue Devils #721 over Kansas Jayhawks: Kan is heavily dependent on their outside shooting. Duke defends the 3 point line very well. I do not expect Kan to be able to get many easy baskets inside. This is a bad match up for Kan. Duke is going to be able to control the boards on the offensive and defensive end. Kan will have no ans for Bagley and Carter combination. Azubuike is still a year away from being a big impact player. I have this game at 5.5 giving us excellent value.
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Villanova Wildcats #872 over West Virginia Mountaineers: Vill is 8-1 vs. top 25 teams while West Virg will face the #1 team in the nation and West Virg is just 3-6 vs. top 25 teams. West Virg is avg on offense but where they really excel is creating turnovers with their press defenses. However what happens when they go up against a team like Vill who has depth and is so efficient on offense they simply do not turn the ball over. The West Virg defense will get exposed here which will lead to many easy looks for Vill. West Virg will eventually lose touch with Vill.
West Virginia Mountaineers #888 over Murray State Racers: Murray St. has been off since the 3rd and we have seen much better teams struggle out of the gate after such a long lay off. Murray St. takes a huge step up in class from the Ohio Valley conf. Murray St. strength of schedule 271 West Virg 7. West Virg has a height and size adv. West Virg is led by a Sr. back court. Now add to the mix the extreme presses style that West Virg plays which is impossible to emulate. 40 mins of pressure likes of which Murray St. has never seen.