Colorado State Rams #352 over Air Force Falcons: No surprises here as Col St will be very familiar with the Air Force option attack. Col St after a bad start has played well of late finishing the season strong. Col St has a very good pass offense while Air Force secondary is weak. Both teams have a quick pace and I am expecting a high scoring game leaving the back door wide open if necessary to cover. I have this game at 8.5 giving us excellent value.
UTSA Roadrunners #151 over Old Dominion Monarchs: Wrong team favored here. I fully expect UTSA to win this game outright. Qb Narcisse is probable he is the transfer from LSU. It is a long shot but UTSA still has a shot at a bowl game. Meanwhile Old Dom cannot wait for the season to end. They simply have no offense even against weak teams. I have this game at pick giving us excellent value.
Tennessee Volunteers #368 over UAB Blazers: Tenn cannot afford to take this game lightly. They have big adv in experience and size. UAB is already bowl eligible at 6-1. However they are in way over their heads here on the road. Tenn has played the 18th ranked strength of schedule while UAB comes in at 189. The only decent team they played W Kent they lost. Look for Tenn to use multiple QB’s again for this game as they did against S.Car. I have this game at 16.0 giving us excellent value.
Virginia Cavaliers #191 over Louisville Cardinals: Both teams play at a slow pace. However in my opinion Virg is the much better team especially on offense and specifically at the QB position. I have this game at 5.5 giving us excellent value.
Charlotte 49ers #411 over Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: The market has really been impressed with W. Kent and rightfully so. However that has inflated the price on this game. W.Kent offense is OK but to be spotting this much wth a total this low is always a challenge. CHarl is a decent team with balance on offense. They should be able to create enough offense to stay well within this number. I have this game at 7.5 giving us excellent value.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles #383 over Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: The market has undervalued S. Miss this whole season. Excellent QB Abraham accurate methodical he can carve you up. L.Tech has also a solid offense but a weak defense. Even on the road I made this game 3.5 giving us excellent value.
Northern Illinois Huskies #363 over Miami Ohio Redhawks: We successfully played on N.Ill last week stating they are an undervalued team and they remain so this week. N.Ill was good last year and this team is not much different than 2018. Mi Oh has a decent defense but they will simply not be able to keep pace in this one given their offense is bad. The path to beating N.Ill is to pass the ball on their weak secondary but Mi Oh has no pass offense. I made the line 4.0 giving us excellent value.
Iowa Hawkeyes #204 over Penn St. Nittany Lions: Big game for both teams which shapes up to be a defensive battle. I will prefer SR QB Stanley at home over Clifford for Penn St. 2 similar teams both rely on the defense give me home field adv and throw in a big field goal on Saturday night for value. I have this game at pick giving us excellent value.
Northern Illinois Huskies #161 over Ohio Bobcats: This line is an over reaction from last week. N.Ill lost at home to an underrated Ball St. team. Oh won a tough OT battle on the road vs. Buff. Oh lost much production on offense in the skilled positions from last year. Although N.Ill is just 1-4 s/u they are 3-2 ATS. N.Ill should have success running the ball in this game. In my opinion N.Ill can win this game outright with the points offered providing a substantial cushion. I have this game at 4.0 giving us excellent value.
UTEP Miners #396 over UTSA Roadrunners: Not exactly a marque matchup value is value and the money is the same win as the Super Bowl. 2 very bad teams. UTEP has a winnable game at home and they will be motivated. UTEP weakness is pass defense but UTSA cannot throw the ball especially with backup QB Narcisse who is brutal. UTSA is 129th in rush defense and what UTEP can do is stop the run and rush on offense controlling the clock and grinding out a win. I have this game at 3.5 giving us excellent value.