Arkansas St Red Wolves #237 over Memphis Tigers: If you are looking for defense you came to the wrong game. Mem has the dynamic duo of Qb White and Wr Coxie. Ark St is bad on defense. However Ark ST has their own threats with a 2 QB combo of Bonner and Hatcher. They are backed by RB Murray and WR Adams. Ark St. returns 13 starters from last year. Ark St has had the benefit of more practice time. Big loss for Mem when star RB Gainwell opted out. I priced this game at 17.0 giving us excellent value.
Clemson Tigers over LSU Tigers: There is nothing bad to say about LSU this is not a bet fading them simply they are overvalued. Led by an explosive offense Heisman trophy QB Burrow that attracts the public and the money. This game will very likely be high scoring over 70 points. So the questions becomes which team can get a key stop along the way and for me that is Clemson. Clemson is 2nd in total defense and arguably has the best secondary in college football. Yes LSU is going to put up some points but so is Clemson.
Cincinnati Bearcats #272 over Boston College Eagles: Cinci has a strong rush offense. Combine this with B.C ranked 115th on defense Cinci will be able tomove the ball with ease. B.C. coach Addazio was fired. Off co-ord has left to go to Northwestern. RB Dillon will sit out preparing for the draft. I made this line 8.5 giving us excellent value.
Central Michigan Chippewas #106 over Miami Ohio Redhawks: Mi Oh is very average on defense. MI Oh is 114th pass offense and 81st in overall offense. Cent Mich is very good at stopping the run which will force Mi Oh to pass more especially if they fall behind. Qb Gabbert is not close to 100%. I made the line 7.5 giving us excellent value.
Colorado Buffaloes #377 over Utah Utes: No Ut has motivation to dominate this game. Win and Pac 12 championship and outside shot at college football playoff. Ut is obviously playing very well this is not a fade on them but rather inflated points given the situation. The total on this game is 49.0 the spread is huge. Very little margin for error. 10-14 points from Col should get us our ticket to cash. Both teams have played tough SOS. Col although obviously not on the same level as Ut is also playing good football down the stretch especially on the defensive side.
Nebraska Cornhuskers #328 over Iowa Hawkeyes: We successfully played on Neb last week as a big road fav at Maryland and won in blow out fashion. We only mention this because now they return home as a dog against Iowa. Iowa is a very avg offense granted Neb defense not that good but the points offered more than offset this issue. We also mentioned in the bet last week how Neb with over rated coach Frost is beginning to show some life. Now they have a chance to get to a bowl with a win. Iowa is locked in this is a game to stay healthy. We get home edge motivational edge and points.
Temple Owls #135 over Cincinnati Bearcats: Cinci at 9-1 s/u are obviously winning but not by margins like this type of line. Cinci defense is very good and they win this one they get the division title. All of the above has them over valued. QB Ridder is banged up. Tem has a very good pass rush. They also have a trio of strong RB’s which should allow them to control the clock. Russo a SR will not be intimidated with this road venue. I expect a low scoring game which Cinci will likely win but Tem should be able to stay well within the number and if necessary keeping the back door wide open.
Nebraska Cornhuskers #115 over Maryland Terrapins: Both teams major disappointments this year. Neb is still showing some fight Mary has packed it in. Neb is simply the much better team. Mary tries to run the ball has no pass offense and the defense is Swiss cheese. Mary will likely rotate at QB and for the most part are auditioning for next year. I have this game at 8.5 giving us excellent value.
Colorado State Rams #352 over Air Force Falcons: No surprises here as Col St will be very familiar with the Air Force option attack. Col St after a bad start has played well of late finishing the season strong. Col St has a very good pass offense while Air Force secondary is weak. Both teams have a quick pace and I am expecting a high scoring game leaving the back door wide open if necessary to cover. I have this game at 8.5 giving us excellent value.
UTSA Roadrunners #151 over Old Dominion Monarchs: Wrong team favored here. I fully expect UTSA to win this game outright. Qb Narcisse is probable he is the transfer from LSU. It is a long shot but UTSA still has a shot at a bowl game. Meanwhile Old Dom cannot wait for the season to end. They simply have no offense even against weak teams. I have this game at pick giving us excellent value.