Vanderbilt Commodores #162 over Northern Illinois Huskies: This is a buy low situation on Vandy. Vandy has played the toughest schedule so far in college football. They are 0-3 s/u and ATS vs. LSU Purdue and Georgia. They take a huge step down in class against N.ILL. Look for Vaughan to have a big day. I have this game at 9.5 giving us excellent value.
West Virginia Mountaineers #373 over Kansas Jayhawks: West Virg turned over the roster on offense but last weeks win over NcSt who has vry good defense was a big confidence builder. Kan is simply a small not very good team. Their win over Bost Coll has the market thinking they have turned things around. However Bost Coll has a terrible def. I have this game at 7.0 giving us excellent value.
Charlotte 49er’s #170 over Umass Minutemen: Umass is very likely the worst team in college football. Charl is improving especially on the offensive side of the ball. This game spells blow out. I made this game 24.5 giving us excellent value.
Akron Zips-Central Michigan Chippewas #133 Over: This total has come down huge with the announcement C. Mich QB Dormady is out and RB Ward. The line has been over compensated. The drop off to the back up QB is not that big. Akr can throw the ball and they have a horrible pass def. Even with the injury I made the total 48.5 giving us excellent value.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #329 over San Jose State Spartans: Tul has nothing to hang their heads about over their road loss against Mich St. RB Brooks and Taylor struggled but they will find the going much easier this week. What is being overlooked how good the defense played holding Mich ST. to 28. Sj St is simply not a good team with no upside. They have no rush offense and the pass off will be stopped by a strong pass def of Tul. I have this game at 9.5 giving us excellent value.
Charlotte 49er’s-Appalachian State Mountaineers #337 Over: Both teams have new coaches. Both teams are playing at a much faster pace. Charl will continue on offense to lean on the passing game. App St undet their new coach will strive for more balance meaning no more just relying on the run game. Another blow out possibility for App St. given how weak the Charl defense is. All this adds up to a high scoring game. I have this game at 58.5 giving us excellent value.
Bowling Green Falcons-Kansas State Wildcats #323 Over: This has the potential for a blow out. K. St can pretty well name the score. They will be able to score at will against a small undersized defense. New coach Klieman has K. St playing at a faster pace than they did with Snyder. We should not need too many points from B.Green in order to go over but they should score some. Wade at QB a Bost Coll transfer is a dual threat who will keep the K.St. defense on their toes. I have this game at 61.0 giving us excellent value.
Liberty Flames #190 over Syracuse Orange: New coach Freeze takes over for Lib in his 1st home game. Qb Calvart is back and will be supported by a strong run game. Syr will be one of their toughest matchups for the year but I do expect them to be able to put points on the board. Granted the defense is bad or would not be able to take this many points back at home but I do believe this has already been accounted for in the line and than some. I think both teams will rely heavily on the run which helps when a dog of this size to keep the clock moving.
Cincinnati Bearcats #134 over UCLA Bruins: I will go against the market money for this one. This line opened at 4.5 and is now down to 3.0. Cinci is simply the better team. Last year Cinci went west and as a 14.5 point dog beat UCLA outright in game 1. Chip Kelly and UCLA will likely take another step forward after a down year but this is a bad match up on the road to start the year for them. QB Thompson-Robinson had an up and down freshman year. Cinci returns 14 starters from last years 11 win team. They have exp and an excellent pass defense.
Texas A/M Aggies #268 over Nc State Wolfpack Gator Bowl: Coach Fisher has his new team playing well. This is an improving team with an explosive offense. There is a huge talent gap between these 2 teams especially with WR Harmon and LB Pratt out for Nc St. This line opened early on at 4.5 but has moved up substantially and I agree with that move. There is no value left on the point spread but the money line still gives us a good return. Nc St at 9-3 is simply overrated. They do not have a signature win.