Duke Blue Devils #129 over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: I have Duke winning this game outright so the points offered provide a cushion and excellent value. Duke is off a bye which gave them extra time to prepare for the triple option which they are already familiar with. Duke is 29th in rush defense. Overall Duke has a much better defense and offense than the home team. GT only adv is home field. The GT defense is struggling despite the weak schedule they have played.
Middle Tenn St. Blue Raiders #143 over Flor Intl Golden Panthers: MTS is simply the better team having played the tougher schedule. SOS for MTS 72 while FIU comes in at 126. MTS has a strong run defense while FIU focuses on trying to run the ball this is simply a bad match up for them. MTS should have no trouble moving the ball through the air with the weak secondary of FIU. I have MTS winning this game outright with the points offered providing a cushion.
Texas Tech Red Raiders #105 over TCU Horned Frogs: Both teams are off a bye so the Thurs night game should not have an impact. Tex Tech is the #1 offense in the land so there is no question where that adv is. Bowman who had a collapsed lung is expected to go but this is a play regardless. Duffy the sophomore is a more than adequate back up for this high powered offense. West Virg had all they could handle from Tex Tech. Yes TCU has the better defense however their offense is realy struggling and they are going to have to score often to win this game let alone cover.
Arizona State Sun Devils #355 over Colorado Buffaloes: We have a ranked team at home laying a small number against an unranked visitor. That should raise your antenna to start. Col is 4-0 s/u they have literally beat no one. Their opponents are a combined 1-16. SOS Ariz St. comes in at 34 Col is 121. Ariz St. has an excellent pass offense. They will put up some big numbers. Ariz St. also has an excellent pass rush although I do expect Col to score well in this game Ariz St. will get a few more stops and force Montez into a few errors. Excellent chance for Ariz St.
Utah State Aggies #311 over BYU Cougars: Make no mistake BYU is the more known brand and has played the much more difficult schedule. BYU SOS is 5 while Ut St. 148. All this does is help create more value for tonight. BYU is in bounce back mode after a clunker vs. Wash. Will it be bounce back or being flat we shall see. What I do know Ut St is off a bye they like to play fast and vs. a mediocre BYU offense we get a med adv offensively. Ut St. does not defend the pass well but that is not what BYU focuses on anyway.
Mississippi State Bulldogs #194 over Florida Gators: Last week results have a big influence on this line being lower than it should be. Flor trounced Tenn but were aided by 6 turnovers. Miss St. lost on the road as a 9.5 point fav to Kentucky. This team will be ready for a bounce back at home. They have also shown the focus to not let up when they get a lead. I have this game at 8.5 giving us excellent value.
Kansas St. Wildcats #182 over Texas Longhorns: Wins over USC and TCU both at home have Tex over-valued in this game. Tex offense is very pedestrian their QB Ehlinger also just OK. Coaching staff just OK combine all this with the fact they have snuck into the top 25 and as a medium sized road fav this line is off. Coach Snyder will have his team ready. Especially off the awful road loss to West Virg. In what should be a low scoring game these points offered are substantial while if needed the back door will remain wide open.
Liberty Flames #402 over North Texas Mean Green: Lib has just arrived in Div 1 and had last week off due to the hurricane. They will leave it all out on the field with no give up at home regardless of the score. The back door will be wide open if necessary. N.Tex is at a sell high stage. This is a let down spot for them playing on the road for the second consecutive week against a team that will not motivate them whatsoever. Last week N.Tex went into Ark and blasted them 44-17. This has them laying inflated points this week. This game will stay close throughout in a high scoring affair.
Boise State Broncos #145 over Oklahoma State Cowboys: I have B.St winning outright in a shootout so let’s get to it. These teams are fairly evenly matched however enough advantages on B.St on the road getting plus money to get us value. Okl St. plays fast and they are legit with a strong home field adv. However B.St is experienced they will not be intimidated on this stage and they get 3 key starters back for this game. Both teams have strong running games. Motivation wise even though it is September edge goes to B.St. This will be the only game this year they will not be favored.
Stanford Cardinal #388 over USC Trojans: Most importantly for this match-up I expect Stanf to dominate in the tranches on both sides of the ball. UNLV was able to rack up 308 yards against USC on the ground. Meanwhile Stanf beat a very good defensive team in SDST 31-10 at home. However the caveat Heisman running back candidate Love had 18 carries for 29 yards in that game. I fully expect him to have a huge game against USC. The USC offense is going to struggle against this very good Stanford defense. I have this game at 6.5 giving us excellent value.