San Diego St Aztecs over Cincinnati Bearcats: Cinci was favored heading in to win their conf but finished a disappointing 3rd. QB Kiel is out so it will be Moore running the offense. Cinci must travel across the country to play in Hawaii. This will be the 2nd trip this year for SD to Haw. SD won the MWC.
USC Trojans over Stanford Cardinals: USC got off to a horrible start turmoil coaching change etc. Since than the ship has been righted. Led by Senior QB Kessler and more emphasis on the run USC has turned their season around and find themselves in the PAC 12 championship. Statistically speaking Stanf has the edge in almost every category.
Arkansas Razorbacks over Missouri Tigers: Ark has played the 3rd toughest schedule in all of college football. Miss checks in at 45. These are two teams with very different styles. Miss is ranked 10th in overall defense. However it is on offense where the value is created for this game. QB Lock is really struggling the most points this team has scored in their last 6 is 20 while they have gone 1-5 s/u in those games.
Colorado Buffaloes over USC Trojans: This is simply too many points to be spotting on the road with a short week and travel for USC. Even if USC at some point during this game has the spread covered the back door will be left wide open. USC has big games against Org and UCLA on tap.
Clemson Tigers over Florida St. Seminoles: It is a rare occurrence when we find the #1 rated team undervalued but this is what we have here. The 7-1 record s/u only 1-2 ATS and the name Flor ST. has this line lower than it should be. I have this game at 12.5 giving us excellent value.
Oklahoma St. Cowboys over TCU Horned Frogs: You will need a calculator to track the scores in this game which has a legitimate chance to go over 100. Both teams are 8-0 and this acts as an elimination game based on a 3 way tie in the big 12. TCU is led by leading Heisman QB Boykin.
San Jose St Spartans over BYU Cougars: This is a ton of points to be spotting on the road to a team that has a very good defense. BYU has not been challenged or played a real competitor since Oct 16.
Ohio Bobcats over Bowling Green Falcons: This game figures to be a shootout. All results point to a BG blowout but not so fast. This line has become so inflated we get excellent value with the visitor. I have this game at 17.5. It is easy to see why the line is so high. The combination of Johnson and Lewis has been dynamic. BG has won 5 in a row outscoring opponents 169-48.
Washington State Cougars over Stanford Cardinals: The markets are well aware how good Stanf is playing. The markets however have not adjusted to how well Wash St. is playing.
Minnesota Golden Gophers over Michigan Wolverines: Both teams have much to overcome in this one. Mich is off that devastating punt fumble to lose the game against MIch St. on the final play. Minn head coach Krill had to retire for health reasons.