Kansas City Chiefs over San Francisco 49er’s: I know most do not want to hear this but this is 1 game. It is like the amateurs partying on New Years Eve. For year round sports bettors every night is New Years Eve. The money on a mid major college basketball bet in January is the same as a winning bet on the Super Bowl. Having said this my bet is to risk 1.0 unit like all my other bets. We have rode Kc through the layoffs are not going to stop now. In a game like this the numbers become a little less meaningful. Yes we have a contrast in styles.
Kansas City Chiefs over Tennessee Titans: Give Tenn all the credit in the world but the Cinderella storey stops here. This will be the 4th road game in a row for Tenn 6th in the last 8 weeks. Beating NE and Balt big accomplishment but Kc is a different animal and substantially better than both those teams especially on offense. The game for Tenn obvious run the ball with Henry control the clock keep Mahomes off he field. However once Tenn falls behind and they will than what. Tannehill is a game manager he is not going o bring you back with his arm.
Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks: The market is making a huge deal of the Phil injury list and it is substantial especially guard Brooks. What is being ignored is the substantial injuries with Sea. Lynch is your primary runner. LT Brown LB Kendricks both big losses. Sea played many 1 possession games this year and benefited from a +12 turnover margin. You cannot count on that every game especially in the playoffs. Sea beat Phil here on Nov 24th but again had a +3 turnover margin RB Penny ran for 129 yards and yet the game was in doubt until the end.
San Francisco 49er’s over Seattle Seahawks: Major playoff implications for both teams. However Sea has cluster injuries on both sides of the ball. I fully expect Sf to be able to move the ball putting up points at will. Sea will also have some success putting up points but their offense revolves around the run game and throwing Lynch into the fire at this point will allow Sf to focus more on containing Wilson which is the key to beating Sea. I made this game 4.0 giving us excellent value.
New Orleans Saints over Tennessee Titans: This line is low thinking that NO is in a let down spot. Do not see it with playoff seeding on the line. Secondly Tenn could in a let down spot even at home. Tenn lost last week to Houst putting them in a bad spot. Combine this with Houst winning Sat and their playoff chances have turned into major long shot needing Pitts to lose both their last 2 to begin the possibility. Both Rb’s for Tenn are banged up Lewis and Henry. NO has played the 10th ranked strength of schedule Tenn comes in at 25.
Chicago Bears over Green Bay Packers: Going to be very cold in Gb today. Shapes up to be a very low scoring run oriented game.Chic played the Thurs night game so they come in with extra rest. Frankly I forecast either team can win this by a field goal. Trubisky has been playing better and Chic will get back OL Massie for this one. I have this game at 3.0 giving us excellent value.
Atlanta Falcons over San Francisco 49er’s: What a situational spot here. Sf returns home for an extreme flat spot. Sf on the road in an extremely entertaining shootout beat NO 48-46. Not only must they be exhausted prior to that game they battled Balt on the road. If that is not enough SF has Lar and Sea to close out the year. SF has not escaped injuries either. DL Ford CB Sherman and all important centre Richburg. Atl has lost Ridley and Trufant but they did get back Jones who looked good last week.
New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs: Not often you will find value with NE especially at home but that is the case this week. This bet has nothing to do with the record of NE off a loss it has everything to do with misleading results from last week. KC destroyed Oak at home 40-9. Big deal Kc was outgained 332-259 yards but had a +3 turnover margin. They will not be able to count on that this week. The Kc defense is still ranked 25th not good NE #2. Ne lost on the road to Houst 28-22 another misleading result. Ne outgained Houst 448-276 won TOP 35-25.
Dallas Cowboys over Chicago Bears: A rare Thursday night game which we will bet. Both teams played on Thanksgiving Day so rest and prep should not be an issue. Both teams are disappointments. Chic point to Trubisky for Dall with all their talent point to Garret. Obviously Precott over Trubisky is a big adv Dall. The Chic defense is good but so is Dall. Dall stock is down giving us a buy low opportunity. Dall has a strong pass rush which should force Trubisky into some errors. Chic is 3-1 in thie last 4 but that was against Det twice without Stafford and the Nyg.
Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions: Short week travel for Chic but this is a familiar opponent so prep time should be fine. It is always risky to lay points especially on the road with Trubisky and Chic. However Chic still has a chance to make the playoffs. The Det defense not good to begin with has cluster injures not fully incorporated in this line. Now QB Driskel has been limited in practice with a hamstring injury. The 3rd stringer Blough was undrafted out of Purdue if they need to go there. Driskel is not good to begin with and the Chic defense is still very formidable.