Dallas Cowboys over Washington Football Team: 2 3-7 teams with the winner taking over first place LOL. Dall starting to move with a big road win over Minn. Dalton returned Elliot ran the ball well. No the Dall defense is not good but they are getting healthier and are at least being competitive. They will face a 28th ranked Wash offense with Smith at Qb. Now Wash must travel on a short week to face a fired up Dall team. If not for Burrow getting hurt on Sun it could have been a home loss for Wash. Wash has played the 30th ranked SOS Dall has played 13th.
Green Bay Packers over Indianapolis Colts: Part of the favorable line this week for us on GB is at home result against Jax only winning by 4. The score was not indicative of how the game played out GB outgaining Jax 395-260. When I can get Rodgers as a dog over Rivers that usually will mean value. Rodgers will also be getting 1 of his weapons back in WR Lazard. Another factor creating value is the Indi #1 ranked overall defense. They are good but not that good. This will be the best offense they have faced this year.
Cleveland Browns over Philadelphia Eagles: Similar game to last week vs. Houst except the weather is expected to be much better. We absorbed a very tough push felt like a loss when Chubb went out of bounds at the 1 to run out the clock. If you did not push I highly recommend you go back to my betting advice videos on you tube and review the topics of line shopping, timing the market and having many sports book accounts. So we move on to this week. The market is still waiting for Phil to turn it around. Wentz has the most INTS in the NFL. He looks lost out there.
Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Rams: We went down on Sea last week as Buff along with Allen had an excellent game plan. Now we get Sea on a bounce back against a Lar team over rated. First Wilson vs. Goff is a big gap. The Lar are ranked 2nd in overall defense but that has come against really weak offenses. The way to beat Sea throw the ball deep forget the run. Lar Goff lack the accuracy and deep threats to take adv of this. Yes Lar will get their scores but will not be able to keep pace with Sea.
Cleveland Browns over Houston Texans: Clev is off their bye and expected to get back Teller and Chubb which is big. Houst has cluster injuries in the 2ndary and linebacker positions which weakens an already poor defense. I expect Clev to control both lines of scrimmage. Clev has the 5th ranked rush offense and will go up against the worst team in the NFL at stopping the run in Houst. The success of the Clev run game should open things up for Mayfield in the pass game. Mayfield and Watson in my opinion are a wash.
Seattle Seahawks over Buffalo Bills: Buff at 6-2 are frauds. Their point differential is horrible. Allen has regressed after market thought he has taken steps forward time will tell. As mentioned last week vs. SF Sea defense is average middle of the pack unlike statistically given how dynamic and how quickly the Sea offense scores. In addition S Adams is expected back and Dunlap should play after the trade from Cinci. The weather is expected to be unseasonably warm for this time of year minimal wind.
Seattle Seahawks over San Francisco 49er’s: Sf given their injuries are getting too much respect. Mostert and Wilson are both out. Samuel is out. Their defense although solid has been decimated by injuries all year. The gap in passing offense of these two teams is huge. With both Rbs likely out for Sea this could actually put even more focus on Wilson moving the ball through the air to his excellent receivers. The Sea defense is not good but their offense scores so quick and so often the defense statistically is not as bad as it seems. SF has a Thurs night game on deck vs. Gb.
Pittsburgh Steelers over Baltimore Ravens: The market likes to bet on teams coming of a bye like in the case of Balt. Historically this has had no impact on which team covers. This line has already come down slightly so we will not wait any longer. The line also indicates that on a neutral field Balt would be favored and that is just wrong. The gap in the passing game of these two teams is huge. Balt runs the ball well but Pitts is very good at stopping the run. Pitts jumped out to a 27-7 lead last week against a good Tenn team and despite a -3 turnover margin they still won 27-24.
Chicago Bears over Los Angeles Rams: I expect this game to be low scoring making the points offered a mountain to overcome. Chic does not get enough credit they win many close games do not score much and win on defense and creating turnovers. Foles is not very good but he is a veteran and will not get rattled in this environment. This will be Foles 4th week after replacing Trubisky so the offense is a work in progress. Chic has not played a tough schedule but it is still tougher than Lar. The rams 4 wins have come against the NFC east.
Carolina Panthers over New Orleans Saints: Car season was supposed to be over after losing McCaffery but that has not been the case. Rookie coach Ruhle has done an excellent job. Davis has stepped up at RB Bridgewater has been solid and the defense despite injuries is ranked 11th overall. NO has the name recognition and are off a bye. WR Thomas has been out since week 1 with a hamstring he was due back this week but sat out practice Thurs making him questionable. Regardless NO is no longer that explosive offense we remember from the past but rather a rhythm ball control unit.