Submitted by rsteel on
Los Angeles Dodgers over Arizona Diamondbacks: This is not about fading Greinke as he is having an excellent year. It is about fading Ariz who has overachieved so far and is a negative regression team in y opinion. Ariz has been stronger on the road than at home where they are only 15-21. Aria is 13-12 vs. LH on the year to date. In their last 10 games Ariz has a 156 ba against LH pitching. Lad have won 6 in a row Ariz is 3-7 in their last 10. Lad are 11-1 when Kershaw starts. We will rate the offenses equal although Lad are in better form. We will rate the bullpens equal. We will give Kershaw a small adv over Greinke. I have this game at 1.41 giving us excellent value.