Submitted by rsteel on
Minnesota Twins over Los Angeles Angels: We will rate the bullpens equal for this one however I fully expect Laa will need to cover more outs from their bullpen than Minn. Harvey is not pitching deep into games. We will give Minn a small adv on offense. Laa are already 4-12 vs. LH pitching. Laa in their last 10 games are hitting 192 vs. LH. Simmons is also out for Laa which hurts the offense but even more so on defense. Starting pitching we have a med adv. Harvey is no longer a fire baller. Only 34K in 45.6 inngs of work with 20BB. Even with a smooth trip he will max out likely on less than 6 inngs. Perez was not good for the most part pitching in Tex. That was not a good ballpark for him. However he has found a home in Minn. He is not giving up the long ball and his under the hood numbers are just as good supporting his ERA. Minn is an excellent 17-8 on the road. I have this game at 1.28 giving us excellent value.