Submitted by rsteel on
Saint Louis Cardinals over Arizona Diamondbacks: Stl has won 6 in a row 3.5 games up on Mil for the NL central crown. We will rate the offenses equal for this one but with Marte and Peralta out for Ariz those are big holes to fill. Rarely will I lay this much juice on the road but it is warranted here. WE have a med adv in the bullpen and a med adv in starting pitching. Flaherty will not win it but his name should be mentioned more for the Cy Young. A 200 BAA his under the hood numbers are even better than his surface stats. Leake is a control soft tossing righty who gives up a ton of hits and HR. An ERA of 4.38 and a BAA of 300 his under the hood numbers are even worse with an XERA of 4.56. I have this game at 2.12 giving us excellent value.