People who bet for a living are looking at the prices all day long every day. If you are doing this part time you need to find someone you trust who you can follow 100% of the time; especially if your goal is to generate a full time income at some point in this business.
Career success is measured by how much you enjoy what you do. The optimum is to look forward to your work enjoy the process of problem solving. That in essence is our function with sports betting.
Always try to get better. This business like most is always evolving and changing. Adapt to succeed. Never stop learning and growing.
The only thing that can stop you is you. Have a passion for what you do and eventually the money will follow.
In the era of Covid NBA starting line ups (who is in who is out) for each game becomes that much more important before you place a bet. The long NBA season is filled with injuries and the new craze load management. Keep in mind basketball more than any other sport including football quarterbacks 1 player makes a huge difference. Reason being there are only 5 players on the court at 1 time and key players play usually 80+% of the game.
If you like the dog or under usually better to bet it closer to game time. If you like the favorite or over there is usually no upside to waiting bet it now. This is not a hard and fast rule but is the norm to betting at the best odds. As you gain experience in this business you acquire a better feel when to place your bets in order to maximize value. No one times the market perfectly all the time no matter how long you do this.
This week we will focus on some points relating to NCAAB. Early in the season you want to look for teams that have had low turnover of key personnel. Also look for teams that have participated in a summer tournament like the teams that travel to Canada Australia etc. These teams will be well ahead of the curve in terms of chemistry, experience and having played together. Look for teams that have a strong experienced point guard. This is the equivalent to a quarterback in football.
I often hear bettors say at around the half way point all the value is gone from the lines. Like most things you “hear” about in the sports betting arena the perception is wrong.
As we head into our busy time the importance of shopping and acquiring the best line possible when you bet cannot be overstated.
It does not matter what the $ value is of your unit. Successful sports bettors know the value of half a point on the spread or a penny on the money line. Successful bettors will be on the right side of a half point victory more times than not. They will win when others push and they will push when others lose. When a line has moved against them they know to pass on the game not to chase the line.
We will finally get back to a “normal” routine schedule for the upcoming season.
Let us take a look at some key areas to in order to effectively handicap. For this grapevine we will focus on the numbers side not the situational side. However remember the intangibles like travel, injuries, motivation, revenge, look ahead, let downs etc. are all equally as important as the numbers.
The NHL regular season gets underway this week. For those of you that have been following me for a while this Grapevine will act as reminder for those of you new please take note. I am not interested in risking money on a 4 on 4 overtime which is basically shinny or even worse a shootout which is nothing more than a glorified skills competition. Could you imagine an MLB game tied being decided by a home run hitting contest because that is the equivalent. Therefore if the game is tied after 60 minutes and we are on the money line the bet is a push.
With the NFL regular season heading into week 4 this is a good time to remind you about the danger of overreacting. Nowhere is this a greater problem than with the NFL. Do not be a Joe be a Pro.