Submitted by rsteel on
We are now less than 2 weeks away from the start of the regular season of MLB. YES!
Baseball represents the highest dollar amount EVERY year of our total dollars bet. There are 2,592 regular season games. This volume far exceeds any other sport providing us with the most betting opportunities.
Baseball also has a tendency to be streakier than any other sport we bet. It is a long long season a marathon not a sprint. There will be extended winning and losing streaks. Stay on an even keel buckle up the ride will be well worth it.
What will 2023 MLB bring us? The way baseball is played it has gone through dramatic changes especially in the last 5 years. Therefore, as sports bettors it is our responsibility to adjust our handicapping techniques to stay ahead of the market.
I continue to adjust adapt handicapping techniques to the changes the way the game is being played. Using openers, stud pitchers going 6 innings max, strikeouts moving runners who cares, emphasis on the home run etc. Believe me I have already made more adjustments I feel necessary to have a profitable 2023 based on changes in the game more so than betting market conditions. Secondly, I continue to anticipate more early morning bets as to maximize line value as last year too many times the market moved games out of our value range. So, when necessary, we will jump in early. In other words, I need to time the market more effectively.
Another year and even more rule changes again this year. We will need to monitor/evaluate early on the impact these rule changes will have.
One rule change that is here to stay for the regular season if a game goes to extra innings a runner to start the inning will be placed at 2nd base.
Bases will be bigger. Pitch clock for pitchers as to when they will need to throw a pitch. One time for bases empty one time with runners on base. Limited number of times a pitcher can attempt to pick off runners. Defensive shifts are banned. My initial thoughts base stealing will increase offense/scoring will increase as well. They are trying to speed games up with more action. I do not think games time wise will reduce because game will be higher scoring. Let’s see!
Bullpen handicapping is huge more so than ever. Deep talented rested bullpens, relief pitchers that can get lefties and righties out etc. all-important factors.
To ensure you NEVER miss a bet it is critical you follow me on Instagram Twitter Facebook @ricksteel99. Make sure the notifications are turned on from twitter as well. There will be times where you have less than 1 hour to place your bet after receiving the alert. I do not place a bet until I have a high degree of confidence of the starting line ups and who is being rested. Day games after night games and Sunday’s have the greatest fluctuations in starting line ups.
As like any other time of the year there will be days where we will bet our plays in stages in order to get the best line.
Shop, shop, shop for the best line available. You do not want to bet a game at -1.40 when it is available at -1.32. You do not want to bet a game at +1.12 when it is available at +1.19. Regardless of the $ amount of your unit even one cent differences in the line over the course of a season results in substantial dollars left on the table. It could mean the difference between a winning and losing season. In fact, if the line has moved too much from when I released the pick and you waited too long to bet it that play it may not even have value any longer. That applies to all sports and bets I make.
If you are not getting the lines I am betting at, there are likely 2 main reasons. You did not bet the play soon enough after I released it (remember we deal in fluid marketplace lines are moving all the time) OR you are not shopping at enough sports books to guarantee yourself the best line possible.
With the legalization of sports betting across North America and some remaining excellent dependable trustworthy books offshore there is absolutely NO excuse for you the sports bettor not to effectively shop at many sports books each time you place a bet. I guarantee you just by doing this without increasing your win % you will make more money.
If anyone has any questions about the above info do not hesitate to contact.
LET’S PLAY BALL!