Submitted by rsteel on
Saint Louis Cardinals over Cincinnati Reds: Small adv across the board throw in home field and we have value. Wainwright is well paced his prime on the downside of his career but he knows how to pitch goes deep into games. He is in excellent form right now. This is not a fade against Castillo he is pitching well and can certainly K much better than Wainwright. However if this game is tight/tied in the late inngs adv still goes to Stl who has a small adv as well in the bullpen. Cinci is 2-6 when Castillo starts while Stl is 5-1 when Wainwright starts. You go under the hood Wainwright XERA is 1.5 runs better than Castillo. Lastly both these teams all year have disappointed on offense however again Stl is in better form giving us another small adv. I priced this game at 1.18 giving us excellent value.