Submitted by rsteel on
Philadelphia Phillies over Washington Nationals: We will give a med adv in the bullpen to Wash. Phil is really bad however they have recently added Workman, Hembree, and Parker which should help somewhat. I do expect Nola to pitch deep into this game which should minimize this issue. We will rate the offenses equal. The main value for this game is starters. Nola is off perhaps his worst start of his career vs. Atl. I expect a bounce back. Nola ERA is 3.10 but going under the hood his XERA 2.56. Corbin is solid this bet is not a fade against him but the gap vs. Nola greater than the posted line. I have this game at 1.18 giving us excellent value.