Chicago Cubs over Cincinnati Reds: We will rate the offenses and bullpens equal for this one. Chic will have a small adv in starting pitching. Hamels is having an excellent year. His under the hood numbers are just as good as his surface stats. Gray is also having a decent bounce back year. However he struggles to pitch deep into games. His numbers really take a tumble when he heads to the 3rd time through the order. I have this game at 1.31 giving us excellent value.