Submitted by rsteel on
New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs: Not often you will find value with NE especially at home but that is the case this week. This bet has nothing to do with the record of NE off a loss it has everything to do with misleading results from last week. KC destroyed Oak at home 40-9. Big deal Kc was outgained 332-259 yards but had a +3 turnover margin. They will not be able to count on that this week. The Kc defense is still ranked 25th not good NE #2. Ne lost on the road to Houst 28-22 another misleading result. Ne outgained Houst 448-276 won TOP 35-25. The public looks at wins and losses in order to find value you must go deep into the games to find anomalies that are unlikely to appear again this week. We have that on both teams for this match-up. I made this game 4.5 giving us excellent value.