Submitted by rsteel on
Miami Marlins over Milwaukee Brewers: Over the course of a long season no matter how bad the team is will go through some good runs. Mia is in one right now. 4W in a row 7-3 in their last 10 the offense has come to life as some of the young guys start to figure it out. We get a small adv on offense. Mia is hitting 312 in their last 10 vs. RH. Mil is hitting 230 in their last 10 vs. LH and are just 8-8 on the year. WE have a med disadv in the bullpen. I am expecting Smith to pitch deeper into the game and hopefully we have a big lead to hold on to. Not often you can get this type of price when you have a med adv in SP. Peralta gets the start after 3 relief appearances because Gonzales is hurt. Peralta has a 287 BAA. Smith is arguably the best pitcher on the Mia staff. 61 inngs 80K vs. 18 BB and a 189 BAA. Both pitchers are susceptible to the long ball so who does a better job will go a long way to a win. I have this at 1.28 giving us excellent value.