Submitted by rsteel on
New York Mets over San Diego Padres 1st 5 INNGS ONLY: We will rate the offenses equal for this match up. Nym closer Famillia will be away from the team so bullpens will also be rated equal hence the 1st half play only. The value is with the starting pitching. Wheeler is a former 1st round draft pick however that was 2009. He has an opportunity to a regular in the rotation but he must prove it. This year his ERA 4.24 on the surface is avg but going under the hood his numbers project to a 3.77. Mitchell was acquired from Nyy and is probably best served as a middle reliever. HIs form and mechanics is completely messed up right now. In 25 inngs a 295 BAA with only 9K vs 19BB. His ERA at 5.76 projects out at a whopping 7.10. I have this game at 1.44 giving us excellent value.