Submitted by rsteel on
We all know the key to successful handicapping is to find value. In a macro simplistic rule of thumb what you want to do; when everyone is jumping on a team you want to get off. When everyone is jumping off a team they are down on for a recent performance you want to jump on them whenever possible. This is what investing is all about. Buy low sell high I am sure you have all heard that before.
This is how you acquire value. Look for teams that are winning but when you look under the hood you find misleading results. For example:
Football a high positive turnover margin, consistently being outgained
Hockey consistently getting outshoot
Baseball a pitcher giving up many hits but a low ERA, a team stranding many runners on base.
Basketball high turnovers, inordinate amount of fouls called on the opposition
All of the above will have corrections to the mean it is your job as the handicapper to find these spots and invest for or against a team BEFORE the correction takes place.