Submitted by rsteel on
Detroit Lions over New Orleans Saints: Rarely are we able to take back this amount of points in a game where the dog has as good a shot as this to win outright. I have this game at 4 giving us excellent value. There is no getting around how good the NO offense is especially at home. That attracts the public money. However the NO defense is equally bad and Det should be able to control the clock with their short and diversified passing game. In other words expect a high scoring game but eventually that NO defense will wear down not that is was any good to begin with. Det amazingly has trailed in the 4th quarter in all 11 of their games. They have been able to win s/u 7 of them. Market is considering this lucky I am looking at it as clutch. Det in their 4 losses have not lost by more than a TD. The back door will remain wide open for this one if necessary. Det also comes in with more rest especially important this time of year having played on Thanksgiving day.