Instincts & Luck 06/05/16 (more...)


I am sure most of you have heard the phrase “trust your instincts”. This is awful advice for the sports bettor especially a beginner. A newcomer either has no instincts or cannot depend on the few instincts they do have. The instincts are usually based from a perspective of a sports fan however that does not translate effectively to a successful handicapper.
Sports betting is a skill to be learned and developed over years. It is no different than getting your MBA in university. Getting your degree is just one step continuing that learning never stops. Sports betting is continually changing and evolving so the learning and adapting never stops. What worked 5 years ago does not necessarily work now. The market changes and you have to change in the opposite direction when it does.
In the long run this business has nothing to do with luck or bad beats. We have all heard people say “I would rather be lucky than good” Ridiculous! Long term winners understand the randomness of LUCK. It comes it goes it is short term and cannot be depended on. I would much rather be good skillful knowledgeable than lucky.