Submitted by rsteel on
We all know that in sports betting there are NO situations that work all the time. There are also NO situations on their own without other reasons that would constitute a bet. Finding a spot that consistently win over 55% of the time well that is something to focus in on.
You often hear people that do not know what they are talking about constantly preaching I only bet dogs dogs dogs. That is the only way to make money. That is ridiculous. Let us break this down further. First of all you are eliminating half of the possible bets by ignoring favorites. Give me a motivated favorite with obviously more talent who I know is going to show up and not let up that is by FAR the best bet you can find. Perhaps the favorite is on a bounce back,revenge,must win etc this along with supporting details will constitute a good bet.
Myself being a grinder and value bettor the next best bet is your home dog where appropriate. A home under dog that is well coached well rested playing a favorite that is over confident in a sandwich game or who just wants to win and go home this is a good bet. Home underdogs rarely give up. Road teams quit all the time favorites let up all the time leading to back door covers; BUT home underdogs will almost always have your ticket in play right until the end and usually taking you to the cashier’s window.
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