March Madness Handicapping 03/11/12 (more...)


1)Forget about the recently finished conference tournaments. March Madness is a different beast. There is no carryover of momentum for teams that performed well in the conference tournaments. In fact some coaches could care less about the conference tournaments choosing to focus on the big dance.
2)March Madness games are held on neutral courts or are they? Look for teams that are playing close to home where their supporters can easily get to the games.
3)Free throw shooting is what wins and covers spreads. Look for teams that have a decided advantage in free throw shooting %.
4)In all sports defense wins championships. Look for underdogs who play great defense going up against a flashy offensive team. The offense is what attracts the public it is the defense which puts money in your pocket.
Teams that were overvalued or undervalued heading into the tournament tend to stay that way. Do not get caught up in the hype about seedings. We are sports bettors are concern is point spreads. The public bets the March Madness tournament usually after never having bet a college basketball game all year. The public will gravitate towards favorites, big name schools and overs. So I do not have to tell you where the lines will be shaded in order to find value. Let the MADNESS begin !