Submitted by rsteel on
Talk is cheap. That is why I do not talk much about historical results other than the fact over 15 + years of doing this on a yearly basis we average on a consolidated basis a 3-7% return on investment yearly.
However I have had a number of inquiries about my NFL results so I will address that here and now. Over the last 8 years I have had 6 winning seasons and 2 losing seasons in the NFL. The highest ROI occurred in 2004 with a whopping 21.943% ROI. The lowest ROI occurred in 2005 with a -9.963% ROI. The above results also show you how results can fluctuate from year to year and why drawing conclusions based on sample sizes and time spans too small is not a good idea.
NFL is the only sport that I bet the pre-season. Like all sports handicapping INFORMATION is the key to success. Checking local newspapers of the teams and all national publications will give you all the necessary details. In fact pre-season has its’ advantages because it is the only time coaches tell you what their plans are for the game. Understanding the QB rotations and situations like if there is a battle for starting positions are key criteria. Another key factor is coaching philosophy. How seriously historically has the coach been interested in winning these games vs. just looking at all the personnel?
If a team is coming off a bad year or a team has a new coach this team maybe much more interested in getting wins in the pre-season to set a better tone for the upcoming year.
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