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Submitted by rsteel on
If you do your own handicapping please make sure you do not rely on your friends, peers, talking heads on TV, or anyone else for that matter to help you make your betting selections. Consensus decision making does not work in conventional business and it especially does not work in this business.
Submitted by rsteel on
We all know the key to successful handicapping is to find value. In a macro simplistic rule of thumb what you want to do; when everyone is jumping on a team you want to get off. When everyone is jumping off a team they are down on for a recent performance you want to jump on them whenever possible. This is what investing is all about. Buy low sell high I am sure you have all heard that before.
Look for teams that are winning but when you search under the hood you find misleading results. For example:
Submitted by rsteel on
In order for you to remain mobile following me on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, and or the app allows you to be notified of a new pick(s) have been posted rather than you having to constantly check. Following me on social media will ensure you do not miss any plays and help you get the best line possible. If you wait too long after I release a pick(s) to bet the line likely will have moved against you losing potential value.
Submitted by rsteel on
I thought I would provide you with a reference chart that you can print out keep handy as you are handicapping games.
On the left is when you are on a money line favorite and on the right is when you are on a money line underdog. The % is the amount of times you will need to win that game at that corresponding line in order to break even.
Submitted by rsteel on
Since we are about to end our forced pause thankfully and head into a very busy stretch I think it is a good time to review. “SPORTS BETTING AS A BUSINESS”
From day 1 over 20 years ago even in the not successful times I approached sports betting from this perspective. It did not matter what the size of my unit was it did not matter if I was part time or full time it was always about treating this as a business regardless of the profit or loss especially in the early years.
Submitted by rsteel on
With the MLB season just under 2 weeks away now is a good time to mention a few items to look out for.
Remember there has been an important rule change this year. I think it is stupid but they do not ask my opinion. When a pitcher is brought into the game he must face a minimum of 3 batters. I anticipate this will lead to higher scoring games as far as the side we will have to monitor this situation as the season progresses but watching closely who is and is not available in the bullpen becomes even more important.
Submitted by rsteel on
Is it disgusting how we got here YES! Is MLB a hot mess YES! Are the rule changes in my opinion bad for the game YES! Regardless on July 23rd we will be playing ball for real and we will be able to handicap and bet. Is this cause for celebration? YES! YES! YES!
Submitted by rsteel on
The next 2 grapevines and this weeks you tube video I will devote to the 2020 MLB betting season about to begin. How to attack, what to look for, rule changes, etc. so do not miss this in order to have a profitable season.
Submitted by rsteel on
Another phrase for the above is called the contrarian approach.
We all know the key to successful handicapping is to find value. In a macro simplistic rule of thumb what you want to do; when everyone is jumping on a team you want to get off. When everyone is jumping off a team they are down on for a recent performance you want to jump on them whenever possible. This is what investing is all about. Buy low sell high I am sure you have all heard that before.
Look for teams that are winning but when you search under the hood you find misleading results. For example:
Submitted by rsteel on
Work does not have to be a 4 letter word when you really enjoy what you do for a living. Nothing is perfect everything has its’ pluses and minuses. However whatever you do have passion energy pride enthusiasm in your efforts. You cannot always control the outcomes but you can always control your effort. Enjoy the process as much as possible to avoid burnout.
Sports betting is an intellectual pursuit. It is staying one step ahead of the markets it is constantly challenging forcing you to adjust and adapt.