Always always bet LISTED pitchers unless I specify differently in my game analysis. This will ensure that from the time we place our bet to the time the games goes off if something were to happen to either starting pitcher and he does not throw at least one pitch to start the game our bet will be refunded. The last thing I want is to risk money based on a pitching change that I did not handicap. However there will be times when we are on the dog that we will ONLY specify our pitcher in the remote chance the better pitcher we are betting against does not start.
Make money at Sports Betting is obviously the primary goal. How? Handicap and pick more winners than loser’s right. Well Kinda! If the best team won every time out we would all be millionaires already.
If there is nothing else you ever listen to or read from my betting tips BUT this piece of advice well here is the key. “Find the right side at the right price” One without the other and long term you will not survive. Now add to this proper money management techniques and not only will you survive long term but you will prosper.
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Every year I am asked for advice regarding filling out your brackets and pools for the NCAAB tournament. Not only is March madness great and presents us with betting opportunities but it also means baseball is about to begin.
Obviously filling out a bracket is a different beast than handicapping individual games of the tournament with point spreads. Next week’s grapevine I will help you with your bracket this week we will deal with the spreads.
1)Forget about the conference tournaments. March madness is a different beast. There is no carryover of momentum for teams that performed well in those tournaments. In fact some coaches could care less about those tournaments and focus on getting their teams ready for the big dance.
Do you realize pitchers and catchers have reported for spring training? In my opinion no other sport has a greater anticipation for opening day than major league baseball. The beginning of spring and the 162 game marathon over the hot summer months that make up the season concluding with the drama of the fall classic. Yes I am an admitted seam head.
2015 was a down year for us ROI wise and given that historically baseball has provided us with our highest return on average I am expecting a big bounce back.
We often hear the above labels but what does it really mean. Professional gamblers who do this for a living (sharps) are all about getting the right price in other words VALUE. They will bet either side of a particular game if the line provides value. It has absolutely nothing to do with having an opinion who will win the game.
Remember we are not in the business of predicting winners of individual sporting events as hard as that is to believe. Everything we do is with a view to the long term.
I recently posted a grapevine on the 2 ways you can increase your unit. So I thought it would be appropriate to address when you should decrease your unit. The answer is NEVER!
I will explain. Part of the reason I am even talking about this is because the question has come up off of the lousy run we had in Nov and Dec 2015. Remember a unit is 2% of your bankroll. Your unit is the amount you RISK on each play not the amount you can win. Flat betting risking the same amount on each game is the only way to long term success in this business in my opinion.
The pick has been posted on the website for about one and a half weeks. What I will mention and I am not trying to put a damper on your enthusiasm however the Super Bowl is 1 game the last game of this football year; BUT just because it is the Super Bowl you still just risk 1 unit. I draw the comparison to New Year’s Eve where all the amateurs come out to party. All the amateurs bet this game but you are a professional and this is just 1 bet over the course of 1,000’s of bets you make over the course of the year.
Remember never never chase losses. The term they use in poker is going on tilt. Wait for your next game of value regardless if it is 5 minutes or 5 days away. The national anthem is sung somewhere every day. Chasing losses will result in digging yourself a bigger hole. Good or bad, start each day 0-0 and move on from the previous day.
If you went 0-10 yesterday you cannot try and make it up in one day especially if there is no value. Conversely you cannot be afraid to pull the trigger either if your handicapping has found games of value.