Memphis Grizzlies over Los Angeles Lakers: This will be more like a D league game than an NBA game. It would be easier to list the people playing than who are injured for both teams. However that does not mean value cannot be found. Lal will play their 5th game in 7 days and a court change after each game. They had no energy last night in Tor and that was before the travel. This will be game 4 and the last of said road trip. Mem will not change their approach. They are a tough methodical physical defensive minded team that plays at a slow pace. This style will frustrate a young LAL team.
Dallas Cowboys over Minnesota Vikings: Sometimes the obvious play is the right play. Both teams come off games from Thanksgiving day. So the short week fatigue travel lack of prep time does not apply for this Thurs night game. Dall weakness defending the pass however with Bradford and the Minn 24th ranked passing offense and their short 3 yard passes this should not a concern. Look for Dall to crowd the line of scrimmage double team Diggs on the outside who is not 100% and force Bradford to make him beat them. Minn does have an adv on defense but eventually Dall will wear them down.
Toronto Maple Leafs-Edmonton Oilers Over: Expecting a wide open affair as was played when these two met in Tor. Score was misleading Tor winning in OT 3-2. Tor had 31 shots in net Edm 46. We get that quantity of shots again tonight we win. 2 Young teams 2 good skating teams on fast ice end to end hockey anticipating a high scoring game. Tor has the #1 road PP.
San Diego Chargers over Houston Texans: My assault on an overrated HOust team will not stop. Osweiler maybe the worst QB in the league and that is saying a lot when Cutler is still around. Houst is in 1st in the very weak AFC South and that gives us a beneficial line. Houst has a -34 point differential. Houst will also come in off a short week after a disappointing loss (not for us) in Mex. Sd comes in off a bye and a rare bad game from Rivers against Mia the week before. Sd weakness is defending the pass which I see no such weakness in this game given the QB for Houst.
Over the course of your sports betting career, you are going to lose a chunk of wagers for a million different reasons. A missed field goal A meaningless 3 pointer. A wild pitch. An empty net goal. The list goes on and on.
Some of these bet busting phenomena are out of your hands and are just part of the 45-47% no matter how good we are that are going to end up in the loss column. However some losing bets leave you smacking yourself in the forehead wondering “What the heck was I thinking?”
Vanderbilt Commodores over Tennessee Volunteers: This time of year it is all about motivation. Tenn takes to the road knowing Flor has locked up the SEC. Vandy has a chance to go to a bowl with a win tonight and that would be a big accomplishment for this group. Last week as a 9.5 point dog they beat Miss outright 38-17. Tenn has been inconsistent all year while the Vandy defense and running game has a chance to control this game.
New Orleans Pelicans over Portland Trailblazers: We cashed last time out with an undervalued NO team and will not hesitate to come back on them tonight. NO have now won 4 in a row coinciding with the return of Holiday. After an 0-8 start they are now 6-2 s/u last 8. Port is playing horrible defense and now they are being asked to cover. Last Fri in NO as a 1 point dog NO beat Port 113-101. Davis scored 38. Now Port is being asked to turn that result around to the tune of over 16 points for us to lose.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane over Cincinnati Bearcats: Tul is 5-0 s/u at home. 6-0 ATS in their last 6. Not often I lay this type of wood but this match has massacre written all over it. The running tandem of Brewer and Flanders has been unstoppable. Evans is really improving with a QB rating of 138.0. Cinci is a mess. 1-6 s/u last 7 and ATS the last 4 games they have been outscored 112-26. Teams this late in the season who have had bad years quit when they fall behind especially on the road. I am expecting this one to get ugly.
New Orleans Pelicans over Minnesota Timberwolves: Minn is a good young team on the rise but they still have to learn how to win on the road. Minn is 1-5 s/u and ats this year. Now they are being asked to win in order to cash. After a very bad start NO has won 3 in a row including last night in Atl 112-94 where they cruised. They had 2 days off prior to that game so it will be a non-issue tonight. The return of Holiday and the improved play of Frazier this will be a team to look to play on when the situation arises and before the market catches up.
Oakland Raiders over Houston Texans: This game will be played in Mexico City. We lost fading Houst last week but it was not so much they won the game but Jack lost. Now Houst takes a big step up in class. Osweiler should wear a mask Elway knew he was going Osweiler and the Houst pass offense is ranked 32nd. He is stealing his money. Look for Houst to rely on Murray and the running game while Oak will stack the box forcing Houst to throw. Oak comes in off their bye.