grapevine

Ohio State Buckeyes over Clemson Tigers: Give Meyer 4 weeks to game plan against Watson and at this line we get value. Oh St. has a more impressive resume heading into this matchup. Also give the overall defensive edge to Oh St. Offenses are a wash. Oh St. went 3-1 vs. top 10’s while Clemson went 1-0. I have this game at 3.5 crossing the key 3.0 to give us the value.

Alabama Crimson Tide over Washington Huskies: Not often I spot this type of lumber also not often you find Ala undervalued. Wash is a cinderalla team however it is one thing for the Wash def to stop Pac 12 teams but to stop Ala another story. Conversely how is Wash going to score enough to keep pace against this offense. This line has moved all over the place. It started at 12 the money quickly arrived moving it to 17 than back to 12 and now has settled where it is. I simply do not see this game remaining close.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets over Kentucky Wildcats: 2 top rushing attacks face off in this bowl game. However with the short price and the fact Kent is horrible at stopping the run we will play GT. I actually have this game at 6.5 giving us excellent value. Part of the influence on this line is Kent winning a huge upset over Louisv just to get here. However all this has done is make Kent overvalued.

South Alabama Jaguars over Air Force Falcons: Af draws a very uninspiring opponent here and they are being asked to cover a substantial margin. Of course AF runs he option and because it is unique teams have trouble defending it. However it is run run and run moving the clock making these points available even more attractive. Secondly this is a bowl game giving Sala more time to prepare. Sala does have some signature wins. They are led by stud Jr RB Johnson. Their QB Davis is prone to the pick and in order for us to cover we will need him not to force things.

Kansas State Wildcats over Texas A/M Aggies: KSt is a young team that continually improved through the year finishing 5-1. Tex A/M had bigger aspirations. The season started that way but they finished 2-4 relegating them to the Texas Bowl. It is close to home but their motivation comes into question. Even if they are motivated they are horrible at stopping the run and that is what Kst excels at. Kst defense we will call a work in progress but it is improving. I expect a high scoring game with Kst winning outright the small amount of points providing a cushion.

Vanderbilt Commodores over NC St. Wolfpack: Vandy started off the season rough adjusting to the new system of coach Mason. However 4-2 to finish including wins over Georgia, Ole Miss, and Tenn got them to this bowl. 2 teams evenly matched played similar strength of schedules whereby in my opinion either has an equal chance to win this game outright. Give us the substantial points offered and we get excellent value.

Keep accurate records of your bets. Document the logic behind your bets. Reviewing the outcome of your bets after the fact is almost as important as your initial handicapping that led to the bet. However this post game analysis must be performed objectively eliminating the sour grapes about a bad call or a player that let you down etc. etc. Did you win based on solid handicapping? Did the game play out the way you thought it would? Did you win despite yourself or did you incur a bad beat? Be honest with yourself.

Miami Dolphins over Buffalo Bills: Moore has 1 game under his belt as starter this year so that should help. Is Moore really that much worse than Taylor anyway? Regardless this play has little to do with Moore. Mia is 8-2 s/u last 10. Mia is on the verge of going to the playoffs Buff is going home. Buff has 7 wins. 1 was against NE without Brady while their other 6 wins have come against teams with a combined record of 16-65. Both teams should be able to run the ball effectively. Ajayi got 214 last time these 2 teams met.

Idaho Vandals over Colorado St. Rams: There is no question who the motivated interested team is. Ida sees this as a true reward taking back substantial double digits and they will be playing close to home. It is not like they finished the year badly either. 4 in a row straight up and 7 in a row ATS. The year started badly for Ida so much so against 2 very good teams that they have been asked to leave the conf and drop down which they will be doing in another year. This game is a chance in a minor bowl game that they are a decent team.

Toledo Rockets over Loyola-Chicago Ramblers: Prime example why W/L records can be so misleading especially prior to conference play. Loy-Chic is 10-2. They are well overrated having played the 290th ranked schedule to date. Tol is just 5-6 and despite Taylor probably not going tonight they are underrated. Tol has played the 105th ranked schedule. In addition they have already played 5 O.T. games having gone 2-3 s/u. I have Tol at 3.0 giving us excellent value.