Archived Picks



Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings

Submitted by rsteel on

Minnesota Vikings over Atlanta Falcons: 2nd year for Cousins at the helm and with an improved offensive line I do expect him to take a step up this year. Rb Cook is healthy strong receiving core with Thielen and Diggs. Added is Doctson from Wash who Cousins is familiar with. The def remains very good and should be even better. They simply were asked last year to spend too much time on the field. Atl with Ryan will again have a strong passing game Freeman is solid at Rb.

Charlotte 49er's vs Appalachian State Mountaineers

Submitted by rsteel on

Charlotte 49er’s-Appalachian State Mountaineers #337 Over: Both teams have new coaches. Both teams are playing at a much faster pace. Charl will continue on offense to lean on the passing game. App St undet their new coach will strive for more balance meaning no more just relying on the run game. Another blow out possibility for App St. given how weak the Charl defense is. All this adds up to a high scoring game. I have this game at 58.5 giving us excellent value.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs San Jose State Spartans

Submitted by rsteel on

Tulsa Golden Hurricane #329 over San Jose State Spartans: Tul has nothing to hang their heads about over their road loss against Mich St. RB Brooks and Taylor struggled but they will find the going much easier this week. What is being overlooked how good the defense played holding Mich ST. to 28. Sj St is simply not a good team with no upside. They have no rush offense and the pass off will be stopped by a strong pass def of Tul. I have this game at 9.5 giving us excellent value.

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers

Submitted by rsteel on

Indianapolis Colts over Los Angeles Chargers: Lac have a minimal home field adv as was evidenced last year. Gordon continues to hold out. Rivers is another year older with minimal mobility. This line is simply an over-reaction to the Luck retirement. No Brissett is not Luck but he is more than an adequate game manager. Brissett started 15 games for this team in 2017 when they had a weak offensive line that has been improved greatly. Pass rusher Houst has come over from Kc a very good addition. I have this game at 3.5 giving us excellent value. 

Bowling Green Falcons vs Kansas State Wildcats

Submitted by rsteel on

Bowling Green Falcons-Kansas State Wildcats #323 Over: This has the potential for a blow out. K. St can pretty well name the score. They will be able to score at will against a small undersized defense. New coach Klieman has K. St playing at a faster pace than they did with Snyder. We should not need too many points from B.Green in order to go over but they should score some. Wade at QB a Bost Coll transfer is a dual threat who will keep the K.St. defense on their toes. I have this game at 61.0 giving us excellent value.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds

Submitted by rsteel on

Philadelphia Phillies over Cincinnati Reds: We will rate the bullpens equal for this one. We will have a small adv in offense however given the starting line ups just posted closer to a med adv. Cinci is 1-5 in games started by Bauer since he was acquired from Clev. IT is not due to a lack of run support either. Bauer has really struggled and he does not know what the issues are. When a pitcher even of his quality is out of form it is rare they bounce back in just 1 start usually it is a series of small steps. Nola is an ace in everyway and his numbers back it up.

Syracuse Orange vs Liberty Flames

Submitted by rsteel on

Liberty Flames #190 over Syracuse Orange: New coach Freeze takes over for Lib in his 1st home game. Qb Calvart is back and will be supported by a strong run game. Syr will be one of their toughest matchups for the year but I do expect them to be able to put points on the board. Granted the defense is bad or would not be able to take this many points back at home but I do believe this has already been accounted for in the line and than some. I think both teams will rely heavily on the run which helps when a dog of this size to keep the clock moving.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Submitted by rsteel on

Philadelphia Phillies over New York Mets: Both teams have high home/away dichotomies. Nym after a really hot extended run to get back into playoff contention have cooled off again. Nym have lost 6 in a row after losing at home to Chic yesterday. Phil was off so small adv to Phil here given how late it is in the season. Both bullpens are erratic mediocre at best so we will call that equal. Small adv for Phil on offense given current form and a small adv in starting pitching.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers

Submitted by rsteel on

Green Bay Packers over Kansas City Chiefs: Gb played in Winn on Thurs. Kc played at home Sat so 1st adv Gb. Gb has a competition for QB #2 Kizer vs. Boyle. They also have a competition left for RB #3. With Henne out Shurmur is clearly #2 with Kc and Litton #3. I prefer the late Qb rotation of GB over Kc. I have this game at 1.65 Gb win for the value.

UCLA Bruins vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Submitted by rsteel on

Cincinnati Bearcats #134 over UCLA Bruins: I will go against the market money for this one. This line opened at 4.5 and is now down to 3.0. Cinci is simply the better team. Last year Cinci went west and as a 14.5 point dog beat UCLA outright in game 1. Chip Kelly and UCLA will likely take another step forward after a down year but this is a bad match up on the road to start the year for them. QB Thompson-Robinson had an up and down freshman year. Cinci returns 14 starters from last years 11 win team. They have exp and an excellent pass defense.

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