Virginia Cavaliers #812 over Texas Tech Red Raiders: First to state the obvious this will be a nails on the chalk board slow pace defensive battle. Two team’s very similar styles rely on their defense. For Virg the redemption is not over after last years embarrassing loss they have one final step. Tex Tech deserves to be here no doubt but it was not projected they would. I expect like Virg they will need 1 year to finish the job. They are definitely not a 1 hit wonder with an excellent coach.
Michigan State Spartans #802 over Texas Tech Red Raiders: This obviously shapes up to be a defensive battle. Both teams will get stops. So the question becomes which team will execute better offensively. Tex Tech has Culver and he is special but they lack other options. Mich St. has more players to rely on who can score. Give Izzo time to prepare and he will have a game plan for Culver forcing others on Tex Tech to try and beat him. Mich St is the better rebounding team. I do expect this game to be close down the stretch so with Mich St.
Kentucky Wildcats #694 over Auburn Tigers: Aub stock too high bafter beating UNC and Kansas. They will be without arguably their best player Okele. Meanwhile Kent got back Washington in their last game vs. Houst. Kent has beaten Aub twice already this year and the markets do not believe they can do it a third time. I disagree Kent is simply the better more rounded team.
Virginia Cavaliers #682 over Purdue Boilermakers: The adage of defense wins championships here we are with Virg. Virg obviously plays tenacious defense. They have depth they are physical and wear opponents down. Pur has had an excellent run in fact their tournament results have this line lower than it should be. Virg has not covered spreads however all that has done is give us value for tonight. Look for Virg to score enough to cover this spread.
Texas Tech Red Raiders #870 over Buffalo Bulls: Offense sells and that has this line lower than it should be. Buff has a very good offense however Tex Tech will be the best defense Buff has gone up against. Tex Tech can get it done on both sides of the ball. Big 12 vs. the Mac is a mismatch. Buff played 2 games all year vs. Top 50 and went 1-1. Tex Tech went 12-5 in 17. Buff comes in with a strength of schedule ranked 95 Tex Tech 44. If Buff comes in and shoots light out so be it I just do not see it happening and will put my money on it.
Villanova Wildcats #837 over Purdue Boilermakers: Line is inflated partially because of 1st game results. Vill struggled in a defensive battle against SMC. Pur put away ODU as expected. Yes Vill is battled tested and experienced led by Paschall and Booth however that will take you only so far. Under the radar leading scorer Edwards for Pur has a sore back he put up points against ODU but he was not efficient. PG Edwards has a sore ankle and was limited in the 2nd half.
Iowa State Cyclones #814 over Ohio State Buckeyes: Oh St reputation and name has this line lower than it should be. Oh St stumbled down the stretch. Iowa St. has been an inconsistent team but are peaking at the right time. Confidence will be high after winning the big 12 tourney. That was accomplished without forward Tally who is expected back. I have this game at 7.5 giving us excellent value.
Nevada Wolf Pack #778 over Florida Gators: The team from the mountain west getting minimal respect going up against a southeastern conf team. Nev is tall and experienced they have a tight rotation. People for get this team started 24-1. Flor went 2-10 vs. top 25 teams. Nev will have Caroline in the line up which is important. I have this game at 4.5 giving us excellent value.
Nebraska Cornhuskers #813 over Iowa Hawkeyes: Both teams are off losses. However in my opinion only one team is for real and that is Neb. Neb is a top offensive team going up against a home team that has big issues on defense. In a game that we just need to lay a small number on the road the value is with the far better team. Neb has a SOS of 37 while Iowa comes in at 166. I have this game at 4.0 giving us excellent value.
Oklahoma Sooners #821 over Kansas Jayhawks: Premier match up of the night. Two teams playing very well at the top of their games. Okl has won 7 in a row they are 10-1-1 ATS on the season. Both teams are battled tested as they enter conference play. You want to bet Kansas at home you will pay a premium tonight is no exception. I have this game at 5.5 giving us excellent value. The s/u winner of this game will be in doubt to the final possessions the points offered provide a substantial cushion.