Submitted by rsteel on
Chicago Bears over Green Bay Packers: Going to be very cold in Gb today. Shapes up to be a very low scoring run oriented game.Chic played the Thurs night game so they come in with extra rest. Frankly I forecast either team can win this by a field goal. Trubisky has been playing better and Chic will get back OL Massie for this one. I have this game at 3.0 giving us excellent value.
Submitted by rsteel on
Arizona Coyotes over New Jersey Devils: Big juice here but we still get value. This line will go up for a number of reasons. Not expecting Hall to lay again as he waits to be traded. NJ played in the altitude of Col last night and lost but did give a good effort. NJ is 3-4-0-1 on zero days rest as they come from the altitude travel and play back to back. This is the last game of a 4 game road trip. Nj is 2-8 in their last 10 and have lost 7 in a row. We will have a big adv in goal regardless who starts for Nj. Kuemper .935 save % slated to go for Ariz.
Submitted by rsteel on
Atlanta Falcons over San Francisco 49er’s: What a situational spot here. Sf returns home for an extreme flat spot. Sf on the road in an extremely entertaining shootout beat NO 48-46. Not only must they be exhausted prior to that game they battled Balt on the road. If that is not enough SF has Lar and Sea to close out the year. SF has not escaped injuries either. DL Ford CB Sherman and all important centre Richburg. Atl has lost Ridley and Trufant but they did get back Jones who looked good last week.
Submitted by rsteel on
Boston Celtics over Indiana Pacers: Bost has Philly tomorrow but with 2 days off prior to this one I do not think they look past Ind on the road. The return of Hayward is big. I also believe Bost will be able to control the boards. Ind is playing well without Olidipo but when they have to step up against top 10 teams they are 0-4. I have this game at 2.5 giving us excellent value.
Submitted by rsteel on
Central Michigan Chippewas #106 over Miami Ohio Redhawks: Mi Oh is very average on defense. MI Oh is 114th pass offense and 81st in overall offense. Cent Mich is very good at stopping the run which will force Mi Oh to pass more especially if they fall behind. Qb Gabbert is not close to 100%. I made the line 7.5 giving us excellent value.
Submitted by rsteel on
New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs: Not often you will find value with NE especially at home but that is the case this week. This bet has nothing to do with the record of NE off a loss it has everything to do with misleading results from last week. KC destroyed Oak at home 40-9. Big deal Kc was outgained 332-259 yards but had a +3 turnover margin. They will not be able to count on that this week. The Kc defense is still ranked 25th not good NE #2. Ne lost on the road to Houst 28-22 another misleading result. Ne outgained Houst 448-276 won TOP 35-25.
Submitted by rsteel on
Dallas Cowboys over Chicago Bears: A rare Thursday night game which we will bet. Both teams played on Thanksgiving Day so rest and prep should not be an issue. Both teams are disappointments. Chic point to Trubisky for Dall with all their talent point to Garret. Obviously Precott over Trubisky is a big adv Dall. The Chic defense is good but so is Dall. Dall stock is down giving us a buy low opportunity. Dall has a strong pass rush which should force Trubisky into some errors. Chic is 3-1 in thie last 4 but that was against Det twice without Stafford and the Nyg.
Submitted by rsteel on
Florida Panthers over Minnesota Wild: Minn has been playing better. We ger an opportunity to sell high. Minn also has somer serious home/away dichotomy. Both teams go with goalies with 1 carer starts so there is some risk on both sides however we will go with the team much more gifted offensively. Flor is 4th home on offense Minn is ranked 25th on the road. I have this game at 1.32 giving us excellent value.
Submitted by rsteel on
Colorado Buffaloes #377 over Utah Utes: No Ut has motivation to dominate this game. Win and Pac 12 championship and outside shot at college football playoff. Ut is obviously playing very well this is not a fade on them but rather inflated points given the situation. The total on this game is 49.0 the spread is huge. Very little margin for error. 10-14 points from Col should get us our ticket to cash. Both teams have played tough SOS. Col although obviously not on the same level as Ut is also playing good football down the stretch especially on the defensive side.
Submitted by rsteel on
Nebraska Cornhuskers #328 over Iowa Hawkeyes: We successfully played on Neb last week as a big road fav at Maryland and won in blow out fashion. We only mention this because now they return home as a dog against Iowa. Iowa is a very avg offense granted Neb defense not that good but the points offered more than offset this issue. We also mentioned in the bet last week how Neb with over rated coach Frost is beginning to show some life. Now they have a chance to get to a bowl with a win. Iowa is locked in this is a game to stay healthy. We get home edge motivational edge and points.