Minnesota Timberwolves over Utah Jazz: Usually it is Ut that takes adv of their altitude and home court adv. Tonight it is reversed. Ut will play its’ 4th game in 6 nights after a tough game last night at OKC. Ut is 5-7-1 ATS with zero days’ rest. Ut now takes on a young Minn team waiting for them. Minn is just 2.5 games out of a playoff spot. No doubt Ut has a big adv in defense for this one. However Ut also plays at the slowest pace at home making these points offered even more substantial. I have this game at 4.5 giving us excellent value.
Brooklyn Nets over Charlotte Hornets: Brklyn is the worst team in the NBA and it is not even close. Now that we have that out of the way let’s deal with tonight. Brklyn is 2-22 s/u on the road WOW! But they are a respectable 11-10-3 which means when you bet against them you are usually paying a premium when you do cover. Brylyn takes way too many if 3’s if they hit an OK % tonight and combine that with Lopez dominating the middle we will cover easily. Charl is breaking in their new center so Lopez should have a big night if Nets play it right.
Washington Wizards over Memphis Grizzlies: The markets have not caught up to how well Wash is playing at home. Wash has won 12 in a row s/u 17-6 overall and 15-8 ATS. These 2 teams battled in Mem to OT on Oct 30th. Now we get to spot less than home court in the rematch to cash. Led by Beal and Wall backcourt Wall has taken his game to the next level. This match will be offense vs. defense. Off % Wash is ranked 5th Mem is dead last 30th. I fully expect especially at home for Wash to dictate the pace of which Mem will not be able to outscore Wash.
Atlanta Hawks over Charlotte Hornets: Both teams played last night. Charl lost in Bost without Walker. He will be back tonight. However for Charl this will be game 5 and last of a road trip. They have lost the 4 to date. This will be their 4th game in 6 nights and they are 0-5 ATS with zero days’ rest. Atl has struggled badly but seem to be regaining the form from the start of the year. In a big revenge spot last night they went in and beat Tor. A let down tonight is possible but I do not see it at home. They had the 2 days off prior to last night and Atl is 5-1 ATS with zero days’ rest.
Milwaukee Bucks over Portland Trailblazers: Under the radar Mil is making strides. In their last game they took SA to the last shot. Port is playing well 3 wins in a row. Port looks for more balance very guard dependent with Lillard and McCollum. Prior to the loss to SA Mil had won 4 in a row. These 2 teams are fairly even offensively. However on the defensive end we get a large adv. Points allowed per game Mil 10th Port 28th def fg % Port 23rd Mil 1st. Rebounding Mil checks in at 7th Port checks in at 21st.
Memphis Grizzlies over Los Angeles Lakers: This will be more like a D league game than an NBA game. It would be easier to list the people playing than who are injured for both teams. However that does not mean value cannot be found. Lal will play their 5th game in 7 days and a court change after each game. They had no energy last night in Tor and that was before the travel. This will be game 4 and the last of said road trip. Mem will not change their approach. They are a tough methodical physical defensive minded team that plays at a slow pace. This style will frustrate a young LAL team.
New Orleans Pelicans over Portland Trailblazers: We cashed last time out with an undervalued NO team and will not hesitate to come back on them tonight. NO have now won 4 in a row coinciding with the return of Holiday. After an 0-8 start they are now 6-2 s/u last 8. Port is playing horrible defense and now they are being asked to cover. Last Fri in NO as a 1 point dog NO beat Port 113-101. Davis scored 38. Now Port is being asked to turn that result around to the tune of over 16 points for us to lose.
New Orleans Pelicans over Minnesota Timberwolves: Minn is a good young team on the rise but they still have to learn how to win on the road. Minn is 1-5 s/u and ats this year. Now they are being asked to win in order to cash. After a very bad start NO has won 3 in a row including last night in Atl 112-94 where they cruised. They had 2 days off prior to that game so it will be a non-issue tonight. The return of Holiday and the improved play of Frazier this will be a team to look to play on when the situation arises and before the market catches up.
New York Knicks over Detroit Pistons: It is early in the season but Det is already having quit the dichotomy 5-0 s/u at home and 1-5 on the road. Det has played the 21st toughest schedule so far while NY comes in a 6th. On Nov 1 Det at home beat NY 102-89. Look for that result to reverse itself tonight. I have this game at 3.5 giving us excellent value.
Houston Rockets over Atlanta Hawks: Howard will face one of his former teams tonight when Atl plays at home. Howard never fit in with Houst no surprise and although Houst will be a bubble playoff team addition by subtraction applies. Howard is off to a decent start with Atl however Atl losing Teague and Horford this is a team at best in transition. Schroder taking over at PG well that remains tio be seen. Korver weak defensively has not found his shooting touch as yet this year. For Houst Harden will get his how much he plays defense remains to be seen.